Betting stats and trends to know ahead of NFL conference titles games

The NFL convention championships on Sunday provide us 4 official Tremendous Bowl contenders, a number of fascinating gamers and a complete lot of betting historical past.

We’ve compiled an array of statistical nuggets, betting traits and issues to know for each video games (by way of Wager Labs and different historic sources).

Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes on Sunday, Dec. 26, 2021.
Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes on Sunday, Dec. 26, 2021.
Icon Sportswire by way of Getty Photos
  • Since 2003, underdogs in convention championship video games are 16-20 towards the unfold, the one spherical of the playoffs beneath .500 ATS in that span. Within the Tremendous Bowl period (since 1966), underdogs are 49-60-1 ATS on this spherical.
  • Public sides are 7-3 towards the unfold up to now within the playoffs. The general public hasn’t completed over .500 ATS in playoffs since 2016-17.
  • All 4 of the quarterbacks Sunday have proven ATS success within the playoffs by way of their careers: Pat Mahomes 7-3 (+$357); Jimmy Garoppolo 4-1 (+$270); Joe Burrow 2-0 (+$184); Matthew Stafford 3-2 (+$72).
  • The Bengals (150/1) personal the longest preseason Tremendous Bowl odds to make a convention championship recreation since Kurt Warner and the St. Louis Rams in 1999-2000. These Rams, additionally 150/1, ultimately went on to win the Tremendous Bowl. The group with the best preseason odds to make it to this spherical was the 1979-80 Buccaneers at 250/1.
  • Final weekend, the Chiefs had been the lone favourite to outlive the divisional spherical. The final time underdogs went 3-1 straight up in that spherical was in 2008-09, when the Steelers had been the one survivor, beating the Chargers earlier than occurring to win the Tremendous Bowl.
  • Since Dec. 12, the Over has cashed in seven consecutive Chiefs video games, surpassing the entire by 11.5 ppg. It’s the longest Over streak for Kansas Metropolis in not less than the final 15 years.
  • Within the Tremendous Bowl period, touchdown-or-greater favorites on this spherical are 35-6 straight up and 24-16-1 ATS. If the Bengals had been to knock off the Chiefs, this might be the most important convention championship upset because the Ravens (+8) over the Patriots in 2013.
  • The Bengals are the fourth group to enter a convention championship or a Tremendous Bowl on not less than a six-game ATS successful streak within the final 15 years. The earlier three groups lined their subsequent recreation.
Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow throws a pass during Saturday's game against the Titans.
Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow throws a cross throughout Saturday’s recreation towards the Titans.
Getty Photos
  • The Over is 14-4-2 within the NFC Championship recreation since 2002.
  • If the 49ers advance to the Tremendous Bowl, they may change into the primary group because the 2004-05 Rams to beat one division opponent 3 times in the identical season — all listed because the underdog. St. Louis did in order that yr towards the Seahawks.
  • Garoppolo is 14-5 SU and 15-4 ATS in his profession as an underdog, one of the best successful share by any quarterback as an underdog within the Tremendous Bowl period.
  • Over the previous 15 years, 5 groups have gone into Lambeau Area and gained within the playoffs, because the 49ers did final week. All 5 lined the unfold the next week (4-1 SU). Going even additional, since 2003, groups are 31-14-1 ATS (68.9 p.c) after successful on the street at Lambeau Area, essentially the most worthwhile prior opponent within the NFL.
  • Rams TE Tyler Higbee has eclipsed his receiving yards prop in six straight.
  • Ref watch: Underdogs are 32-16-2 (66.7 p.c) in video games labored by Carl Cheffers (49ers-Rams) the previous three seasons. The Underneath is 79-55-1 (59 p.c) since 2012 in video games officiated by Invoice Vinovich (Bengals-Chiefs).

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