VSiN’s NFL skilled provides suggestions on the totals for Saturday’s Week 18 matchups
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (-11, 45) at Denver Broncos
Vic Fangio’s days as a head coach could also be numbered, however no person can deny his defensive genius. Fangio’s Broncos will end out a disappointing dropping season on Saturday afternoon towards the Chiefs, however Denver’s protection will not be the rationale why.
The Broncos are third in scoring protection heading into this week. Alongside the way in which, they held Kansas Metropolis to only 22 factors, and a kind of touchdowns was a pick-six. Solely the Patriots, Payments and Cowboys have a betting scoring share towards on opponents’ drives, and people groups have 30, 30 and 33 turnovers, respectively; Denver has compelled simply 19.
The Broncos’ protection is legit, however their offense can be legitimately unhealthy, particularly with Drew Lock at quarterback. Lock has two landing passes towards two picks and has been sacked on 8.4 % of his cross makes an attempt. The Chiefs’ protection has its flaws, however has gotten higher because the season has progressed. Kansas Metropolis held Denver to only 9 factors within the first sport, and that was with Teddy Bridgewater and an offense that managed 404 yards, however had three turnovers (and three turnovers on downs).
The sport whole is 45 right here, which means Kansas Metropolis will rating about 27 factors. That has solely occurred 4 occasions in 16 video games towards Denver this season, and the Broncos have been -4 in turnover margin in a kind of video games. This whole simply appears just a few factors too excessive.
Decide: Beneath 45.
Dallas Cowboys (-4, 43.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
Soccer followers seemingly can be handled to Cooper Rush versus Gardner Minshew in prime time on Saturday because the Cowboys and Eagles end out the common season making an attempt to not get anyone harm.
Dallas rookie linebacker Micah Parsons hit the COVID checklist on Wednesday and it appears as if he received’t clear in time to take part. However, he received’t be the one large identify out of motion on both aspect.
Rush threw for 325 yards when pressed into beginning responsibility earlier this season for then-injured Dak Prescott. He has a superb grasp on this Kellen Moore offense and ought to be given ample alternative to throw the ball round.
Minshew is more likely to throw extra usually, and certain extra effectively, than Jalen Hurts has this season. Minshew was 20-for-25 in a win over the Jets and gave the Eagles an actual carry whereas Hurts rested an harm. Backup quarterbacks have quite a lot of incentive to play properly in video games like this when given the chance, as they’d like to discover a beginning job elsewhere the next season. Minshew is a veteran with 21 begins to his identify and a few robust numbers with a 39-11 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He’s removed from Sean Mannion.
My guess is each coordinators will throw a bone to the backups and Rush and Minshew can be given the possibility to place up some numbers. Key defensive gamers are more likely to be lacking from each side, which evens the enjoying area if high starters sit out as properly. This simply appears like a sport that might have some offensive pizzazz to it with a few strong backup quarterbacks and skeleton defenses.
Decide: Over 43.5.
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