DeMar DeRozan is under-the-radar bet for NBA MVP

VSIN’s basketball professional dives into just a few rising NBA betting points.

DeMar making robust case

The MVP race has seemingly been whittled down to 2 contenders: Stephen Curry (+120 at BetMGM) and Kevin Durant (5/2). It is smart to an extent. They're the very best gamers on the very best groups of their conferences, however a three-game shedding streak for Brooklyn getting into Wednesday had dropped them to second within the Jap Convention standings behind the Bulls. If we’re operating with the straightforward standards of “finest participant on the very best staff,” then the Bulls’ DeMar DeRozan deserves extra respect within the MVP race.

DeRozan has had a number of MVP moments this season, none extra impactful than the back-to-back buzzer-beaters on Friday and Saturday. On two consecutive nights, DeRozan gained video games for the Bulls on the horn towards Indiana and Washington. He leads Chicago in scoring and PER, and even his superior metrics compete with the likes of Curry and Durant. Of the three, Curry leads the way in which in effectivity differential at +19.9, with DeRozan behind him at +17.0, based on Cleansing The Glass, each approach forward of Durant (facet notice: Nikola Jokic — BetMGM’s fourth alternative at 14/1 — blows all of them out of the water).

DeRozan can also be clutch. Within the fourth quarter this season, he’s taking pictures 53.0 % from the ground and a exceptional 53.8 % from 3-point vary. There’s a way more sophisticated image to color, however the level is DeRozan deserves respect for what he has carried out, and his present 40/1 price ticket to win the award is just not reflective of his true odds at this level.

DeMar DeRozan
DeMar DeRozan
AP

Cavaliers’ future bleak

Cleveland has been an incredible story this season. The Cavaliers are simply eight victories away from clinching the Over on their win whole, and proper now they management the fifth seed within the Jap Convention. Their +4.9 web ranking in non-garbage time minutes is fourth-best within the NBA and the very best within the Jap Convention. Nonetheless, the lack of Ricky Rubio for the season is a large blow and has the potential to derail a magical season.

With Rubio on the ground, the Cavaliers had been outscoring their opponents by 6.9 factors each 100 possessions. Rubio and Darius Garland shaped probably the most efficient backcourts within the league, rating within the 98th percentile of certified lineups in web ranking (+15.5) and the 88th percentile in offensive effectivity (115.7).

Garland has come alongside robust, however there’s no query Rubio has been the primary straw stirring the drink. When he's off the ground, the Cavaliers’ web ranking drops to +2.3 with the offense averaging simply 110.9 factors per 100 possessions.

There may be nonetheless lots to love in regards to the Cavs with out Rubio — their energy ranking continues to be extraordinarily robust — however this staff turns into fairly common with out him. It could not be stunning to see the Cavaliers slide down the standings as they alter to life with out Rubio.

Scoring surge up north

Final week, the Ontario authorities capped attendance at live performance venues, arenas and theaters to 1,000 individuals attributable to surges in COVID-19 instances. In consequence, the Raptors canceled all tickets to residence video games for the subsequent three weeks and restricted attendance to staff staffers and household and mates of gamers.

The primary two video games in Toronto with no followers have gone over the whole by a median of 14.5 factors, which is one thing to watch.

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