Brandon Anderson covers all issues NBA and NFL for Motion Community, specializing in NBA props and ATS picks for each NFL recreation.
Cincinnati Bengals (+7.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
There’s actually a model of this recreation through which the Chiefs run away with it. The Bengals offense ranks twenty ninth in first-quarter DVOA, per Soccer Outsiders, and the protection ranks twenty eighth in second-quarter DVOA. The offense ranks twenty fifth on the highway and the protection ranks thirty first on first downs. And so they’re nonetheless overcommitted to their inefficient run recreation on early downs. The Bengals may bury themselves early.
However this line is a contact too excessive at -7.5, although. Below -7, I’d be tempted to experience with Patrick Mahomes. Previous the important thing quantity, I've to comply with the Bengals’ pattern in one-score video games and imagine the again door might be open for Joe Burrow in opposition to a Chiefs secondary that certain didn’t look as if it had any solutions in opposition to the Bengals on Jan. 2 or Payments final Sunday.
San Francisco 49ers (+3.5) over LOS ANGELES RAMS
I backed the 49ers to cowl and win as Week 10 underdogs in opposition to the Rams, then did so once more in Week 18. I picked them to cowl and win in opposition to the Cowboys and Packers within the first two rounds, and I've Tremendous Bowl futures on the Niners, too.
There’s only one factor that can preserve this choose a “lean” for now”: The damage report for San Francisco options nearly all their most vital gamers.
Jimmy Garoppolo is nursing thumb and shoulder accidents. Nick Bosa and Fred Warner performed this previous weekend however went into it questionable. Trent Williams is taking part in damage. George Kittle and Deebo Samuel each limped off on the ultimate drive.
I anticipate all of them to go, however we’ll wait to ensure earlier than going all-in on the 49ers once more. I’m much less frightened concerning the unfold since I’ll nearly actually be taking part in the moneyline once more, and if we lose somewhat worth there, it’s doubtless as a result of the damage report appears to be like clear. That’s a good commerce price ready for. As soon as we get the inexperienced gentle, I’m backing San Fran once more.
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