Tee Higgins is likely one of the greatest up-and-coming large receivers within the NFL and might go off in any matchup. Nonetheless, there’s some sneaky worth in betting the Below on his receptions on Sunday.
Over a seven-game stretch since Week 13, Joe Burrow has been torching opposing defenses to the tune of a median 348 passing yards. Nonetheless, Higgins has hauled in six or extra catches in simply three of these video games. With Burrow’s passing yard prop round 287.5 as of writing, Higgins might want to see a reasonably vital rise in goal share to clear 5.5 receptions.
Higgins’ goal share appears extra more likely to take a success in opposition to the Chiefs. Burrow could possibly be pressured to throw beneath extra because of a leaky offensive line, as evidenced by his 4.5 common depth of goal final week — the bottom of the eight quarterbacks within the divisional spherical. That wouldn’t bode properly for Higgins.
When Burrow has confronted stress, it has resulted in a minus-5.6 p.c goal share drop for Higgins — the most important drop on the crew. Tyler Boyd, C.J. Uzomah, Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine usually tend to profit from the added stress.
I’m projecting Higgins for 4.9 receptions and a median of 62.5 receiving yards. Contemplating he profiles as a downfield risk, I'm far more comfy attacking his reception prop than I'm his yardage prop (as a result of potential for a few downfield targets, able to a large achieve, however decrease odds of completion).
The play: Tee Higgins, Below 5.5 receptions.
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