Biden calls threat of Russian Ukraine invasion ‘very high’

President Biden instructed reporters Thursday that he believes Russia will invade Ukraine in a matter of days, describing the menace as “very excessive.”

“They [Russia] haven't moved any of their troops out, they’ve moved extra troops in, primary,” Biden mentioned as he left the White Home to journey to an occasion in Ohio. “Quantity two, now we have motive to consider that they're engaged in a false flag operation to have an excuse to go in.”

“Each indication now we have,” the president added, “is that they're ready to enter Ukraine, assault Ukraine.”

Biden reiterated that his “sense” is that an invasion ordered by Russian President Vladimir Putin “will occur within the subsequent a number of days.”

The president famous that he nonetheless believes there's a diplomatic path to resolving the disaster – one thing the US and different Western allies have pushed in latest weeks – however added that he had “no plans” to talk with Putin “proper now.”

As Biden left for Ohio, Vice President Kamala Harris departed Washington to journey to Germany for the high-level Munich Safety Convention — the place she is slated to present remarks in regards to the Ukraine disaster in addition to meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Germany Chancellor Olaf Scholz.

Harris will probably be joined in Munich by Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who warned the United Nations Safety Council Thursday morning that Russian preparations for an invasion of Ukraine have been “unfolding proper now.”

President Joe Biden
Biden mentioned he had “no plans” to talk with Putin “proper now.”
AP Picture/Patrick Semansky
A graphic showing the current situation at the Ukraine-Russia border.
A graphic displaying the present state of affairs on the Ukraine-Russia border.

Blinken, who greeted British diplomat James Cleverly with a fist-bump earlier than his remarks, instructed the Safety Council that “I'm right here in the present day to not begin a battle, however to forestall one” and added that Moscow can nonetheless step again from the brink of full-fledged battle. 

“The Russian authorities can announce in the present day, with no equivocation or deflection, that Russia is not going to invade Ukraine,” Blinken mentioned. “State it clearly, state it plainly to the world. After which exhibit it by sending your troops, your tanks, your planes, again to their barracks and sending your diplomats to the negotiating desk.”

Earlier than the Safety Council convened, US Ambassador to the UN Linda Thomas-Greenfield instructed reporters the prospect of a Russian invasion was “imminent,” a phrase the Biden administration had sought to keep away from utilizing in latest weeks for concern it despatched the incorrect message about Putin’s intentions.

Russian multiple launch rocket systems firing during a military exercise.
Russian a number of launch rocket techniques firing throughout a navy train.
EPA

“The proof on the bottom is that Russia is shifting towards an imminent invasion,” the envoy instructed reporters. “This can be a essential second.”

Thursday morning noticed a number of fast-moving developments within the disaster, together with shelling within the east of the nation and the supply of a Russian response to Western proposals on Ukraine and broader European safety.

Each Ukrainian officers and Russia-backed separatists have blamed shelling within the village of Stanytsia Luhanska on one another, with Kiev calling it a “provocation.” 

Russia state-based media accused Ukraine of violating the 2015 Minsk Settlement cease-fire, a declare the Ukrainian Joint Forces Operation rejected.

The US Embassy in Ukraine backed the Kiev authorities’s account, tweeting: “Russia’s shelling of Stanytsia Luhanska in Ukrainian government-controlled territory in Donbas hit a kindergarten, injured two academics, and knocked out energy within the village.  The aggressor in Donbas is obvious – Russia.”

UK Defence Secretary Ben Wallace warned at a NATO protection ministers assembly in Brussels that Putin may use the assault as pretext for an invasion. 

“It’s a part of the playbook,” mentioned Wallace, who warned of “exercise on the bottom in cyber, in ahead or specialist forces, looking for to both do false flags or to create pretext. You’re positively going to begin seeing, we already are seeing, the elevating of the rhetoric round alleged breaches.”

As if to emphasise the purpose, Wallace’s ministry tweeted out a two-minute “intelligence replace” video detailing the state of play in Jap Europe.

“Russia now has over half its floor fight energy close to the Ukrainian border, the biggest for the reason that fall of the Soviet Union,” the video’s narrator intoned. “The size of that is far past something wanted for a large-scale coaching train.”

“If President Putin chooses battle,” the ministry warned, “appreciable numbers of civilians will die. Defence Intelligence suggests he could be prepared to maintain 1000's of casualties to get what he needs.”

The Ministry of Defence additionally revealed what it described as a “doable axis of invasion” by Russian forces, together with a possible plan of assault concentrating on the Ukrainian capital of Kiev from positions in Belarus and western Russia. One other doable invasion route steered Russian forces may advance on the town of Dnipro from the north and south in a pincer motion earlier than driving west.

Within the newest European diplomatic maneuvering, Ukraine, Poland and the UK introduced Thursday that that they had agreed to forge a three-way memorandum of cooperation on points together with cybersecurity, vitality safety and countering Russian disinformation.

“The UK and Poland will proceed to supply Ukraine with assist, standing in unity with Ukraine, within the face of ongoing Russian aggression, and absolutely dedicated to face with [the] Ukrainian nation in its efforts geared toward defending Ukraine’s sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity inside its internationally acknowledged borders,” learn an announcement from the British International and Commonwealth Workplace. 

In the meantime, the Kremlin repeated its demand that the US and NATO block Ukraine from becoming a member of the Atlantic alliance in addition to roll again their navy presence in Central and Jap Europe. 

The calls for have been included in Russia’s long-awaited response to proposals from the US and NATO on Ukraine and Russia’s safety – which rejected Moscow’s authentic calls for that the alliance rule out additional growth final month.

On the identical time, the US Embassy in Moscow revealed that Russia had expelled deputy chief of mission Bart Gorman – the outpost’s second-ranking official. The weblog Diplopundit reported that Gorman and his household left Russia final week.

State Division spokesperson Ned Worth described the Russian motion as “unprovoked and we take into account this an escalatory step and are contemplating our response.”

Thursday’s developments got here simply hours after a US official claimed late Wednesday that Russia had secretly added 7,000 troops close to Ukraine’s border regardless of Putin claiming he would pull again forces earlier this week. 

In all, the US estimates Russia has massed roughly 150,000 troops round Ukrainian territory, together with heavy navy tools.

With reporting by Evan Simko-Bednarski

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