Real Madrid vs. PSG line, prediction: Underdog will get first leg result

Tuesday’s UEFA Champions League match between Actual Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain is fascinating on so many ranges. Lionel Messi coming to torment Actual Madrid as soon as once more, plus Kylian Mbappé going through a Actual Madrid facet he’s prone to be a part of this summer season. 

I do suppose there's some worth on Actual Madrid to get a outcome on this first leg, particularly because it was introduced that Karim Benzema would play on this contest. 

Actual Madrid, which has been on cruise management in La Liga play, has over-performed its anticipated objective (xG) numbers, however the degree of competitors within the Spanish high flight is leaps and bounds higher than what PSG has been cruising by way of in Ligue 1 motion. 

Paris Saint-Germain ahead Kylian Mbappe, left, performs the ball subsequent to ahead Lionel Messi.

AFP by way of Getty Photographs

Primarily based on UEFA Coefficients, Spain boasts the second-most troublesome league in Europe, whereas France comes within the fifth-most troublesome league total. 

It’s been some time, however we are able to’t neglect how underwhelming the Parisians’ efficiency was within the Champions League group stage. What tends to occur with PSG — since it's used to being possession dominant within the French first division — is when it has to face a group like Manchester Metropolis or Bayern Munich, it tends to sit down deeper and look to destroy groups on the counterattack. 

That’s clearly as a result of the group has Messi, Mbappé and Neymar. That clearly didn’t work towards Manchester Metropolis the previous two seasons, although. PSG obtained fortunate to get previous Bayern Munich, plus even RB Leipzig gave it a ton of issues in transition. 

If we return to final 12 months’s UCL quarterfinal spherical, Actual Madrid knocked out Liverpool over the 2 legs with out controlling a big share of the possession. That stated, it wouldn’t shock me if Madrid turns the desk on PSG and lets or not it's the possession-dominant facet, whereas seeking to hit it on the counter. 

I've this match projected very near a choose ’em, so I like Actual Madrid getting +0.5 on the unfold line at -120 odds to get a outcome within the opening leg. 

The play: Actual Madrid +0.5 (-115).