Usually seismic strikes embrace a dramatic shift of some kind — assume Russell Wilson on the verge of being traded from Seattle to Denver. Others seismic strikes don’t require motion in any respect — a la Aaron Rodgers staying in Inexperienced Bay.
Each have deep fantasy impacts. And never all of them good.
It ought to come as no shock the unhealthy ramifications will happen in Seattle, the place an offense that wasn’t nice with Wilson final season now has Drew Lock or a quarterback to be decided later — through free company or the draft or one other commerce, and many others. Merely put, the long-term plan absolutely isn’t for Lock to be locked in because the starter.
He does get to maintain Broncos teammate Noah Fant — the tight finish was a part of the commerce. However Fant wasn’t nice with Lock in Denver. And now, the Seahawks have a bona fide No. 1 extensive receiver in DK Metcalf, an elite-level expertise the Broncos lacked. That would disrupt any presumed reliance or acquainted affinity Lock has for Fant.
However nearly as good as Metcalf is, he was a disappointment final season, and that was with Wilson. Count on his ceiling to be one thing related, and think about him reaching that ceiling as unlikely.
It received’t assist Tyler Lockett both, however he's a boom-or-bust sort, so he'll nonetheless feast on some sporadic lengthy touchdowns over the course of the season, simply count on his famines in between to be deeper and longer.
In the meantime, Wilson will inherit Lock’s outdated WRs — Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton & Co. Not one of the Denver choices are as uniquely gifted as Metcalf, however Jeudy seemingly hasn’t even approached his full potential — due primarily to poor QB play, and Sutton could have his finest alternative to recreate his breakout 2019 Professional Bowl season.
Keep in mind, Wilson had certainly one of his worst seasons final yr, so maybe there needs to be a curb on a few of the unfettered enthusiasm. However there may be additionally this: Wilson has all the time been finest when supported by a powerful operating sport. The Broncos have a younger game-breaker at operating again in Javonte Williams. The Seahawks had (and have) nothing to rival that. That is excellent news for Wilson (and extra unhealthy information for the Seahawks’ offense).
So similar to we count on Metcalf’s ceiling to be capped by what has up to now been his ground, we count on final season’s ground to be simply as unlikely for Wilson. The Madman thinks it's more likely he rebounds to the Russell we have now recognized in years prior — seemingly not peak Russ, however nearer to the height than 2021’s valley.
What does that imply for his fantasy manufacturing? Although he's anticipated to spice up the manufacturing of these round him, his private fantasy worth may not shift too dramatically. Think about these elements:
1. The Broncos have a greater protection than the Seahawks. This implies Wilson received’t have to attain as a lot to maintain his workforce within the sport.
2. Bear in mind the sooner Javonte level? Properly, which means Denver shouldn’t must rely as a lot on the passing sport as Seattle has just lately.
3. Much less enjoying from behind and extra reliance on the operating sport routinely interprets into fewer passing makes an attempt/manufacturing. This drop in quantity might offset an anticipated spike in effectivity.
So, yeah, members of the Broncos’ offense normally will get a pleasant enhance in our projected fantasy worth, however Wilson received’t get as huge of a lift.
Which brings us to the Packers. That is the simple one, since there isn’t any important motion. Rodgers stays in Inexperienced Bay, and he retains his favourite goal in Davante Adams, who obtained the franchise tag. The Packers will nonetheless have a powerful two-headed backfield with Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. We’ll watch for different offseason strikes earlier than evaluating the remainder of the offense, however this small assortment is basically the one means the Packers make an audible ping on our fantasy radar — at this level anyway.
One factor we do know for sure: All of the offseason QB motion we have now seen lately certain makes fantasy much more enjoyable.
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