This Large Ten Event is vast open. Anybody from Illinois to Indiana may get scorching and win this factor. Hell, Nebraska simply ended its season with wins over Penn State, Ohio State and Wisconsin.
Illinois earned the highest seed after a wild last week of video games. In the meantime, Rutgers alumni might be telling tales to their grandchildren concerning the “double-bye Scarlet Knights.” That is the very best seed Rutgers has earned since becoming a member of the convention in 2015.
The Large Ten is normally a grind — a low-scoring league that depends on defensive-minded groups, which money Unders at a 55 p.c charge.
However this season has been a special story, because the Large Ten options 5 groups that rank within the prime 20 in adjusted offensive effectivity — greater than any convention. In the meantime, not a single crew ranks within the prime 20 in adjusted defensive effectivity.
So, between high-scoring video games and a wide-open discipline, this may be one of the best convention match of the week.
The place’s the worth?
The Champions: Iowa
The Hawkeyes are my favourite future on this match. You possibly can nonetheless snag Iowa at +390 on FanDuel on the time of this writing.
Iowa ended the season profitable eight of its last 9 video games earlier than getting an ultra-motivated Illinois crew in Champaign within the regular-season finale.
The Illini had simply discovered they may win the Large Ten regular-season title after Wisconsin dropped an unlikely sport to Nebraska. How do you lose that sport?
So, the highway to the Large Ten Championship for Iowa consists of:
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— Beating the winner of Nebraska-Minnesota in Spherical 2.
— Beating Rutgers on a impartial court docket within the quarterfinals.
— Beating Illinois on a impartial court docket within the semis in a large revenge spot.
I like that.
Furthermore, Iowa remains to be underrated within the Large Ten hierarchy. Most followers take a look at Iowa like a poor man’s Purdue — i.e., a terrific offense with a really suspect protection.
However that’s not the case. Iowa’s offense is as electrical and uptempo because the Boilermakers’ and options simply as many elite shot-makers. Plus, the unit is led by Keegan Murray, who led the league in scoring (23.3 ppg) and was second in ORtg (129.9). It’s good to have a stud like that in massive moments like this.
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Furthermore, Iowa’s protection sneakily improved all through the season. It’s been considerably higher than Purdue’s. Iowa has an argument as one of the best crew within the league. If not, the Hawkeyes are at the least the most popular.
What to make of prime three seeds?
We’re fading third-seeded Purdue. The Boilermakers’ offense is so good. However the protection can't guard a ball-screen to avoid wasting its life. You may simply assault Purdue in that set over-and-over and Matt Painter has no solutions.
Given my disbelief on this Boilermaker crew, I’d be prepared to purchase small futures in Wisconsin (8/1) and Ohio State (10/1) on the underside of the bracket. If Purdue goes down, we’d get hedging alternative within the last.
Plus, Chris Holtmann and Ohio State ran to the championship sport final yr. Why can’t they do it once more?
When you’re going to take a bit out of the top-three seeds, I’d in all probability take a look at No. 1 Illinois. Behind Trent Frazier and Alfonso Plummer, the Illini’s perimeter protection is difficult to crack. Plus, the 2 are lethal shooters and create loads of area for Kofi Cockburn to dominate down low. However my perception in Iowa means I’ll be avoiding that wager.
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