We’ve reached the enterprise finish of the 2021/22 UEFA Champions League. The eight remaining groups will play the primary legs of their quarterfinal fixtures on Monday and Tuesday, with the return leg happening subsequent week.
One fast look on the odds means that the quarterfinals could possibly be fairly easy. Manchester Metropolis, Liverpool, and Bayern Munich are all prohibitive favorites of their matchups with Atletico Madrid, Benfica, and Villareal, respectively, whereas bookmakers are having a tricky time separating Chelsea and Actual Madrid.
Whereas Atleti may give Manchester Metropolis a run for his or her cash and are a tempting value at +850 with the Cityzens in an advanced spot with Liverpool coming to the Etihad on Sunday, there may be one other underdog that presents good worth for bettors trying to tackle one of many European giants.
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Villareal vs. Bayern Munich odds
Moneyline: Villarreal +450 | Tie +310 | Bayern Munich -175
Complete Objectives: Over 2.5 (-190) | Below 2.5 (+135)
Villareal (+450) vs. Bayern Munich, 3 p.m. ET on Wednesday
Unai Emery and Villareal have quietly put collectively one in all Europe’s most spectacular runs over the previous two seasons. Final Could, the Yellow Submarine captured their first European trophy by defeating Arsenal after which Manchester United to win the 2020/21 Europa League. Eleven months later and Villareal has its sights set on upsetting the chances as soon as once more, this time within the Champions League.
Most folk, together with the oddsmakers, gained’t give Villareal a lot of an opportunity to qualify for the semi-finals by defeating Bayern Munich over two legs. At their present odds of +680 to advance, Villareal has an implied win chance of 12.8%. And whereas getting by Bayern is unlikely, that quantity does appear a little bit low on a workforce with a terrific match pedigree that has been in sturdy type for many of this season.
Regardless of sitting in seventh place in La Liga, Villareal boast the fourth-best anticipated objective differential in Spain’s high flight and in response to Understat’s anticipated factors (xPoints), the Yellow Submarine ought to be fourth behind Actual Madrid, Barcelona, and Atletico Madrid.
And Emery’s aspect has been much more spectacular within the Champions League, the place they completed second in a aggressive group that includes Manchester United, Atalanta, and Younger Boys after which put collectively a powerful two-leg efficiency to eradicate Juventus, which culminated with a complete 3-0 victory in Turin.
It have to be famous that Villareal has dropped three of their final 4 in La Liga, however these performances got here in between after which proper after the well-known victory in Italy.
Bayern Munich is the third favourite to win the Champions League and are working away with the Bundesliga as soon as once more. The Bavarians are a machine, however they’ve been beatable this season, particularly towards groups that may win the ball excessive up the pitch. Villareal ought to profile as a tough opponent for Bayern in that regard.
Whether or not you wish to again them to win the primary leg at +450 or take a shot on them to tug the two-leg upset at +680, there’s loads of worth on the Yellow Submarine to proceed their giant-killing methods within the quarterfinals.
Villarreal vs. Bayern Munich prediction: Villarreal +450
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