A 3-1 win at Stamford Bridge has Actual Madrid firmly within the driver’s seat of their Champions League Quarterfinal match with Chelsea. The scene now shifts to the pleasant confines of the Bernabeu for Tuesday’s second leg, with Madrid sitting fairly as -1500 favorites to advance to the semi-finals, whereas Chelsea is +630 to flip the script and get again to the ultimate 4 for the second 12 months in a row.
Chelsea vs. Actual Madrid odds
Odds offered by BetMGM
Match outcome: Actual Madrid +150 | Tie +260 | Chelsea +165
Whole targets: Over/Underneath 2.5 targets (-145/+105)
Each groups to attain: Sure -165 | No +120
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Chelsea vs. Actual Madrid predictions
Whereas the percentages to qualify for the semi-final are huge due to Madrid’s 3-1 lead, the three-way moneyline suggests oddsmakers are having a tricky time separating these groups over 90 minutes. Actual Madrid is a slight dwelling favourite at +150, with Chelsea priced at +180 and the draw hanging out at +250.
Trailing Madrid by two targets, the onus on this match falls on Chelsea. The Blues might want to win by two targets to ship the second leg to extra-time or by three targets to advance in 90 minutes. Urgent for a multi-goal victory in opposition to a cohesive facet like Actual Madrid isn’t actually in Chelsea’s DNA below Thomas Tuchel, however bettors ought to rely out the Blues at their very own danger.
Although Chelsea has dropped two of their final three matches, their long-term kind is kind of robust. Because the group stage of the Champions League ended on Dec. 8, Chelsea has notched 15 wins, six attracts, and three losses throughout all competitions.
It might appear to be Madrid is catching Chelsea, who've dropped two of their final three matches, at a superb time, however some context ought to be given to the Blues’ latest wobble.
Chelsea’s 4-1 loss to in-form Brentford on April 2 got here on the heels of a global break that included the ultimate World Cup Qualifiers for a lot of gamers (after the loss Tuchel commented that his gamers regarded drained from the break), and the stats present that their 3-1 loss to Madrid was nearer than the ultimate rating implied. Karim Benzema’s magic and a goalkeeping error by Edouard Mendy had been the distinction within the first leg.
Together with their loss to Brentford, Chelsea is 5-0-1 (Win-Draw-Loss) of their final six matches within the Premier League with a +11 aim distinction (16 targets scored, 5 conceded). They’ve solely allowed 5.68 anticipated targets of their final half-dozen EPL matches and have held their opponents to below 1.0 xG of their final 5 victories in England.
Whereas that form of defensive prowess will assist out in opposition to Madrid, Chelsea might want to have their scoring boots on in the event that they wish to make a run at getting again to the semi-finals. A 6-0 win away at Southampton actually appears well-timed, particularly because it noticed Chelsea submit its highest xG output of the season.
Breaking down Actual Madrid isn't a simple process, however Los Blancos have allowed a mean of 1.47 xG of their final 10 matches.
Overcoming a 3-1 deficit away at Actual Madrid looks like a tall order and there are only a few groups on this planet that would fairly make a go of it, however Chelsea is likely one of the greatest 5 or 6 golf equipment on this planet proper now and ought to be brimming with confidence on the heels of a six-goal outburst over the weekend. The Blues aren't lifeless, but.
Chelsea vs. Actual Madrid prediction: Chelsea to Advance +630 (FanDuel)
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