Having shared our favourite spinoff bets for The Masters, it’s time to show our consideration to the matchups.
When you received’t see many excessive payout choices in these markets, I’m nonetheless seeing loads of good worth amongst the varied head-to-head markets.
Within the following three instances, there’s at the very least a 25-spot distinction between the gamers in my mannequin. So, with out additional delay, listed below are the head-to-head bets I’m focusing on this weekend at Augusta Nationwide.
Greatest Guess #1 – Gary Woodland (-120) over Cameron Younger, DraftKings Sportsbook
It’s the case of expertise vs. youth and I see Woodland’s expertise being the deciding issue on this matchup.
Whereas Masters debutant Cam Younger is an admirable scrambler, he doesn’t fee out very properly within the remaining 4 modeling statistics. He’s forty first or worse in all of the remaining fur classes, together with sixtieth within the subject in strokes-gained: method over his final 36 rounds.
On the flip-side, Woodland is twenty fifth or higher within the subject in 4 of 5 modeling stats. He’s been just a little wayward off the tee not too long ago – fiftieth in good drives gained during the last 36 rounds – however he can simply make up for that together with his file on Par 5’s – 14th within the subject in SG: Par 5’s during the last 36 rounds.
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Plus, Woodland has respectable historical past in his final two visits to Augusta Nationwide. He’s posted two consecutive made cuts in his final two April Masters and completed contained in the top-40 on each events. Plus. prior to 3 consecutive missed cuts in 2015, 2017 and 2018, he posted a thirty fourth and twenty sixth in his first two appearances.
Though Younger posted distinctive finishes at some correlated programs, I anticipate the lightning-quick greens at Augusta will journey him up. Consequently, I'd play Woodland as much as -130.
Greatest Guess #2 – Viktor Hovland (-135) over Collin Morikawa, BetMGM
Say a prayer that Hovland’s chipping points don’t come again at Augusta, as a result of in the event that they do he’s in hassle.
That apart, there’s loads of different constructive traits in Hovland’s present sport. He arrives at Augusta Nationwide tenth general in my 36-round mannequin and ranks first within the subject in strokes-gained: method. Plus, he’s seventh general in good drives gained and has posted three top-10 finishes in his final 4 occasions.
In the meantime, my mannequin counsel that over his final 36 rounds, Morikawa has performed remarkably common golf. He’s nonetheless a top-20 method participant within the subject, however he additionally ranks outdoors the top-50 in bogey avoidance and scrambling whereas sitting thirty ninth in strokes-gained: Par 5’s.
Plus, though Hovland completed behind Morikawa on the 2021 Masters, his placing was far superior. For the weekend, Hovland gained +0.37 strokes placing on the sphere whereas Morikawa gained solely +0.01 strokes, per data-golf.com. Additional, Hovland was six photographs higher than Morikawa on the Par 5’s final 12 months.
With Hovland making fewer errors this season, anticipate the Norwegian to outpace the two-time main winner at this 12 months’s occasion.
Greatest Guess #3 – Billy Horschel (-105) over Abraham Ancer, BetMGM
Ancer was the higher of the 2 on the 2021 Masters, however I’ve been very impressed with Billy Horschel recently.
Horschel has made the reduce in 12 consecutive occasions and arrives at Augusta Nationwide with 4 consecutive top-20 finishes. Plus, though his method numbers haven’t been nice (63rd within the subject during the last 36 rounds), he’s twenty first within the subject in SG: Par 5’s. Ancer, then again, is 78th within the subject in that class.
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General, Horschel is available in twenty fifth in my statistical mannequin whereas Ancer arrives at Augusta fifty fifth within the subject throughout the final 36 rounds. Shrink the pattern dimension all the way down to the final 12 rounds and the discrepancy additional will increase (Horschel fifth, Ancer fortieth). Most significantly, Horschel ranks eighth in SG: Par 5’s within the 12-round mannequin whereas Ancer sits 83rd.
Lastly, Horschel has a greater end this season at a correlated course. The Florida alum completed tied for eleventh on the Farmers Insurance coverage Open, whereas Ancer recorded a T39 on the Genesis Invitational.
Consequently, I consider Horschel must be a slight favourite on this matchup and would play him as much as -120.
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