New York Governor Kathy Hochul holds a slim 4-percentage-point lead over presumptive Republican Social gathering nominee Lee Zeldin.
Lev Radin/Pacific Press/LightRocket through Getty Photographs
Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a slim 4-percentage-point lead over presumptive Republican Social gathering nominee Lee Zeldin within the race for governor, a brand new survey reveals.
The identical ballot reveals Zeldin main disgraced ex-Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo by six share factors in a hypothetical match-up.
Hochul — the previous lieutenant governor who turned the New York’s chief govt final August after Cuomo resigned amid a sexual harassment scandal — garnered the help of 35% of voters to Zeldin’s 31%, with a few third of the voters undecided.
The survey of 830 probably voters — carried out by analysis firm co/environment friendly for the Republican consulting agency Huge Canine Methods — has a margin of error of three.4 share factors.
There are warning indicators for Hochul, in accordance with the ballot. Forty-one % of voters view her unfavorably and 31% favorably — with greater than 1 / 4 undecided.
Hochul solely led Zeldin, a Lengthy Island congressman, within the downstate New York Metropolis and suburban market, 35% to 30%.
“Hochul is underperforming in areas the place she must do effectively. It reveals that Lengthy Island is transferring again into Republican arms,” mentioned Huge Canine consulting founder Chris Grant.
However Hochul led Zeldin in her hometown Buffalo area 60% to 19%.
The survey was carried out from March 28-30 after Hochul introduced the $1 billion taxpayer subsidy deal to assist construct a brand new stadium for the Buffalo Payments and preserve the staff in Western New York for at the least the subsequent 30 years.
“I feel she will get a little bit of a glow from the Payments announcement. Additionally, don’t underestimate the ‘hometown woman does effectively issue,'” Grant mentioned.
Zeldin led Hochul by greater than 35 factors within the Syracuse area and was barely forward in different components of upstate.
Ladies favored Hochul over Zeldin by 9 factors, whereas males have been cut up between the 2.
The ballot confirmed Hochul with tepid help from key Democratic constituencies — blacks and Latinos.
Nonetheless, Zeldin would have a greater probability of defeating the scandal-scarred Cuomo within the Democratic-leaning state.
The Huge Canine Methods survey has 37% of voters backing Zeldin, 31% backing Cuomo and a 3rd undecided.
White voters favored Zeldin by a 16-point margin, whereas blacks favored Cuomo by a 37-point margin — a a lot stronger determine than Hochul had amongst black voters.
Zeldin runs stronger in opposition to Cuomo than Hochul upstate and holds a tiny 2-point lead over the ex-governor within the downstate area.
The ballot assumes each Hochul and Zeldin would be the nominees of their celebration — although each face primaries.
Hochul will sq. off in opposition to metropolis Public Advocate Jumaane Williams and Lengthy Island Rep. Tom Suozzi within the Democratic major.
Zeldin faces a GOP major from Andrew Giuliani, the son of former New York Metropolis Mayor Rudy Giuliani who served as a White Home aide to former President Donald Trump, in addition to former Westchester County Govt Rob Astorino and businessman Harry Wilson.
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