There’s only one NHL recreation on Monday night time, and it isn’t precisely going to be a rankings bonanza when the Winnipeg Jets journey to Montreal to tackle the Canadiens.
At this level of the NHL season, it's truthful to include motivation ranges into your handicap. Whereas the numbers nonetheless ought to dictate the place your cash goes, there shall be some groups that bettors can add to a “don't guess listing” because the season winds down.
Jets vs. Canadiens predictions
The Jets are seven factors out of the playoffs with 9 video games to play. Winnipeg would want to win each recreation left on its schedule to also have a hope of stepping into the postseason. It’s truthful to say the Jets are carried out and shall be taking part in out the string over the past two weeks of the season.
Montreal, alternatively, has been out of the playoff image since Thanksgiving. Recent off a visit to the Stanley Cup Last, the Habs opened the 2021/22 season with simply 4 wins of their first 19 video games. They continued to wrestle till a training change was made, with Martin St. Louis employed to exchange Dominique Ducharme.
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The Canadiens reacted fairly positively to the transfer, skating to a 12-11-4 file in St. Louis’ first 27 video games. A .519 factors share isn’t precisely setting the world on hearth, however Montreal was 8-30-7 underneath Ducharme, so it’s a marked enchancment. And whereas their underlying numbers counsel some damaging regression is to be anticipated, Montreal has a +5 purpose differential at 5-on-5 underneath St. Louis. They had been at -42 when Ducharme was handed his strolling papers.
The Jets additionally underwent a training change in the midst of this season, although theirs was surprising. Paul Maurice, who had been behind the bench in Winnipeg since 2014, stepped down and assistant coach Dave Lowry took over on an interim foundation. The swap didn’t produce an enormous bounce, as Winnipeg has skated to a .533 factors share within the 45 video games since Lowry took over.
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What’s extra regarding is that Winnipeg’s defensive metrics — which have been poor for just a few seasons now — received worse underneath Lowry. The Jets have allowed 2.72 anticipated objectives towards per 60 minutes over their final 45 video games, which places them within the bottom-six within the league over that span.
And in addition to Montreal has performed for St. Louis, the protection stays a multitude. Since St. Louis took over, the Habs are permitting over 14 high-danger scoring possibilities per 60 minutes, which is well the worst mark within the NHL over that span.
Normally, taking part in an over in a Jets recreation carries some threat due to Connor Hellebuyck’s potential to face on his head in internet. However with the Jets on a back-to-back, it seems to be probably that Eric Comrie will begin in purpose towards Sam Montembeault.
Although Comrie has a .912 save share and a +5.4 Targets Saved Above Anticipated (GSAx) in 13 video games for Winnipeg, he’s nonetheless just a few tiers under Hellebuyck and his protection hardly ever does him any favors. Montembeault has struggled to an .896 save share and a -10.7 GSAx in 33 video games for Montreal.
Two poor defenses taking part in in entrance of two goaltenders which have loads of potentials to wrestle is an effective recipe for an over.
The guess: Over 6.5 (-120 or higher)
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