Royals vs. Guardians total, prediction: Expect a long day for pitchers

Monday’s MLB motion kicks off with the ultimate recreation of a four-game AL Central collection between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas Metropolis Royals. The Guardians’ offense broke huge open with 17 runs on Sunday. Will the overall go Over once more on Monday? 

The Guardians mission to hit righties respectably this season, so in opposition to Carlos Hernandez, I feel they will comply with up Sunday’s large offensive breakthrough with one other productive day. Hernandez completed with a positive 3.68 ERA final season, with an anticipated ERA of 4.35. Each of these marks had been huge enhancements from his earlier season, when Hernandez posted a 7.30 xERA with a regarding 12.5 BB p.c. 

Royals DH Carlos Santana
Royals DH Carlos Santana
USA TODAY Sports activities

All through spring coaching, Hernandez seemed to dwell extra so within the zone, however was pounded permitting 5 house runs and numerous arduous hit balls on path to a 14.73 ERA via 7 ¹/₃ innings. 

Then again, Aaron Civale will take the mound for the Guardians, and it’s affordable to assume that what could possibly be a sneakily first rate Royals lineup can hit him and put collectively a stable offensive day. Civale took a step backward at age 26 final season, pitching to a xERA of 4.79 and an XWOBA of .334. 

Even when circumstances aren’t superb for a ton of carry at Kauffman Stadium, we must always see numerous contact and one other lengthy day for pitchers concerned on this one. I see an edge on the Over 8.5 as much as -120 odds. 

The play: Over 8.5 (-120)

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