Alexander Volkanovski will attempt to prolong his unbeaten run within the UFC and defend his featherweight title for the third time towards “The Korean Zombie,” Chan Sung Jung, in UFC 273 on Saturday in Jacksonville, Fla.
Volkanovski was initially alleged to face Max Holloway for a trilogy bout in March, however Holloway pulled out with an harm, and the UFC supplied Jung with a further month to arrange for his second title shot (he misplaced to Jose Aldo at UFC 163). Many take into account Jung — the No. 4 featherweight contender — as undeserving of this chance. And with the betting market as excessive as -800 (88.9 p.c) implied in favor of the champion, a Jung (+550) win on Saturday could be practically as huge of an upset as Julianna Pena (closed +700) towards Amanda Nunes.
Can Jung change into the fifth featherweight champion in UFC historical past? Or will the struggle play out as one-sided because the betting market suggests?
My projections make Jung a 16 p.c underdog (+509 implied odds), however I wouldn’t contact his moneyline under +600 (14.3 p.c implied). I present worth on Jung to win both by knockout (projected +915) or inside the gap (projected +620). You'll find these odds as excessive as +1100 and +700, respectively.
I favor to guess that the struggle will finish inside the gap (projected +111, listed +125 at WynnBet) or Below 4.5 rounds (listed +130 at MGM) at an identical worth level.
Jung isn't as sturdy as his nickname would possibly recommend, and Volkanovski’s choice prop is overvalued primarily based on a latest run of choice wins (seven of his previous 10 fights). If Jung doesn’t get Volkanovski out of there early, I think the champion will chop his lead leg down and ultimately put him away.
The play: Combat Ends Contained in the Distance (+125 at WynnBet).
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