NHL playoffs: Rangers vs. Hurricanes Game 1 odds and prediction today

On paper, the Carolina Hurricanes and New York Rangers had related seasons so far. The 2 golf equipment have been shot out of a cannon within the early going and by no means pale. Finally it was Carolina that completed first within the Metropolitan Division with 116 factors, however the Rangers have been proper there with them till the very finish, ending six factors adrift of the Canes by season’s finish.

However that’s actually the place the similarities between these two groups finish. Whereas the Rangers are a top-heavy crew that depends on its star gamers – particularly the one in aim – to be the distinction, the Hurricanes are a balanced, well-drilled machine that's an absolute buzzsaw at 5-on-5.

Rangers vs. Hurricanes Recreation 1 Odds

Odds offered by BetMGM

Unfold: NYR +1.5 (-190) vs. CAR -1.5 (+155)

Moneyline: NYR (+135) vs. CAR (-165)

Complete: Over 5.5 (-120) | Below 5.5 (=100)

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Rangers vs. Hurricanes Recreation 1 prediction

The Hurricanes completed with the third-best aim differential, second-best shot try charge, fourth-best anticipated targets charge, and third-best high-danger scoring likelihood charge at 5-on-5 this season. That may very well be an issue for the Rangers, who ranked 14th, twenty fifth, twenty fourth, and twenty first, respectively, in those self same classes. And whereas the Blueshirts did present indicators of enchancment over the course of the season at 5-on-5, these positive factors didn't present up in Spherical 1 towards the Penguins.

Going up towards a depleted crew, the Rangers struggled mightily to drive play at 5-on-5 and had loads of points in their very own zone. By the tip of the sequence, the Rangers had conceded 116 high-danger scoring probabilities to the Penguins at 5-on-5. That’s an enormous concern on this sequence as Carolina is a a lot stronger 5-on-5 crew than the Penguins.

Even so, the Rangers don’t must tilt the ice at 5-on-5 to have success. The Blueshirts completed with 110 factors in a season the place their anticipated targets charge was round 47%. With their high-skill gamers like Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider, Adam Fox and Artemi Panarin, the Rangers don’t want a ton of probabilities to make you pay. Simply ask the Penguins.

Carolina Hurricanes vs. New York Rangers
New York Rangers vs. Carolina Hurricanes
NHLI through Getty Pictures

New York will should be scientific to contend on this sequence, but it surely’s not a provided that Carolina will stroll by the Rangers. Certain, the Canes ought to create extra scoring probabilities and they'll possible have extra of the puck, however Igor Shesterkin offers the Rangers an opportunity in any sort of sport and sequence. 

That mentioned, Shesterkin did wobble at occasions towards the Penguins. A part of that may be chalked as much as a porous protection, however the soon-to-be-anointed Vezina Trophy winner wasn’t as much as his regular requirements within the center a part of Spherical 1. Shesterkin was nonetheless ok to maintain the Rangers in a sequence through which they have been outplayed, but it surely’s not like his job goes to get any simpler towards an offense that generated the second-most high-danger scoring probabilities at 5-on-5 throughout the common season. 

It’s uncommon you see a complete set at 5.5 within the NHL lately and given the amount of probabilities the Hurricanes ought to generate and the Rangers’ scientific offense, it’s value backing the over, even when it strikes to a flat 6. 

Rangers vs. Hurricanes Recreation 1 decide:

Over 5.5 targets scored -120 (Caesars)

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