The clear top pick to go first in the 2022 NBA Draft

The Orlando Magic had been the massive winners on this yr’s NBA Draft Lottery and will likely be selecting first general in June’s draft.

That is the fourth time Orlando has gained the draft lottery. The three different high picks in franchise historical past had been Dwight Howard, Shaquille O’Neal and Chris Webber (traded for Penny Hardaway).

The Magic are hoping to strike paydirt once more with this yr’s high decide and the chances say the choice will likely be one in every of three low-post gamers: Auburn’s Jabari Smith (-130), Gonzaga’s Chet Holmgren (+160) or Duke’s Paolo Banchero (+475).

Jabari Smith

He's the early favourite to land in Orlando. He most likely has the most effective combine on this class of somebody who can are available in and contribute immediately but in addition has big the other way up the street. The 6-foot-11, 220-pound Smith dominated as a freshman at Auburn, averaging 16.9 factors, 7.4 rebounds, and shot 80 % from the foul line.

Jabari Smith
Auburn Jabari Smith
AP

Although there's a lot to love about Smith, he shot simply 42.9 % from the sphere. That’s a priority for a man with Smith’s measurement and expertise on the school degree. He additionally must develop extra of a killer intuition. There have been occasions when Smith was reluctant to take over video games and he struggled within the NCAA Event loss to Miami, scoring simply 10 factors on 3-for-16 capturing.

The Magic want a talented low-post participant and Smith definitely suits the invoice. I imagine Smith is essentially the most proficient participant within the draft however with two different intriguing large males additionally on the board, I’m undecided I’d lay -130 on him to go No. 1 proper now.

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Chet Holmgren

One factor I at all times warn when betting draft props is my/your opinion is irrelevant. It doesn’t matter what we'd do, it issues what the groups deciding on will do.

Personally, I like Smith greater than Holmgren. Nevertheless, Chet at +160 is the most effective wager on the board. There isn't any query that some within the Magic camp will likely be infatuated with Holmgren’s distinctive skill-set and you may wager he’s very a lot in play to go No. 1 general.

Holmgren is likely one of the most hotly-debated NBA prospects in latest historical past. Folks both love him or hate him. Although I’m not as excessive on Holmgren as some folks, one argument that is sensible is his recreation interprets higher to the NBA than school.


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Holmgren supporters imagine his skill to deal with the ball and the spacing within the NBA is a recipe for him changing into a celebrity. Nevertheless, Holmgren detractors will argue he struggled in opposition to higher competitors in school and that’s more likely to proceed in opposition to greater, extra bodily gamers within the NBA.

Holmgren averaged 14.1 factors and 9.9 rebounds at Gonzaga. Nevertheless, in video games in opposition to Arkansas, Memphis, Texas Tech, Alabama, Duke, UCLA and Texas, these numbers dropped to 9.7 factors and 9 rebounds.

Nonetheless, I like grabbing Holmgren +160 early within the course of. By June, I feel he’ll be nearer to even cash with Smith.

Paolo Banchero
Duke’s Paolo Banchero
AP

Paolo Banchero

He's essentially the most polished participant of the three and the one most definitely to make a direct affect. The rationale he’s +475 to go No. 1 is as a result of many analysts imagine his ceiling isn’t fairly as excessive as the opposite two high prospects.

It’s arduous to argue with manufacturing although. Banchero averaged 17.2 factors and seven.8 rebounds in opposition to the Forty second-toughest schedule, in response to KenPom. He was additionally by far essentially the most spectacular of the three on the massive stage, averaging 18.8 factors and seven.6 rebounds within the NCAA Event.

I’d be fantastic with Orlando taking Banchero No. 1 however don’t assume it is going to occur. The +475 is tempting, but it surely’s a cross for me. I see the Magic going with both Smith or Holmgren, making Chet +160 the most effective wager on the board proper now.

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