Big combat card this weekend as UFC 274 takes on a sold-out Footprint Heart in Phoenix, Arizona. UFC 274 options two big title fights – together with Justin Gaethje vs. Charles Oliveira – Saturday evening on ESPN+.
Final week, I took a while off from the betting recreation to go on trip. In case you are questioning the place I stand on my MMA picks for the New York Put up, my straight wager report is 8-4.
For 4 of the 5 weeks that we’ve carried out this, I put collectively a parlay for a bit of additional enjoyable. I'm 1-3 on the parlay however these are lengthy pictures; the one we hit was +636.
Whole, should you wager one unit on all the things in my weekly MMA betting articles, you'd be sitting on 13.76 models of revenue in simply 5 weeks.
There are many bets that I like for UFC 274, so with out additional adieu, let’s get began with the UFC 274 preview and breakdown.
UFC 274 finest bets and predictions
Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje prediction
A tremendous combat is on faucet for the principle occasion. Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira is the rarest type of fighter.
He was as soon as seemed down upon as a quitter — tapping to strikes in opposition to Paul Felder — and somebody who can’t reside as much as the hype. Quick ahead a number of years and he's on the high of the sport.
Oliviera may be the perfect grappler we have now seen within the UFC thus far. With that, this combat is fairly binary when it comes to the breakdown. If Oliviera will get this combat to the mat, he ought to be capable to submit Gaethje in 60 seconds or much less.
Gaethje has a depraved hanging recreation catapulted by the perfect leg-kicking technique we have now seen. His coach, Trevor Whittman, might be the perfect mastermind we have now within the sport as we speak. He may have a method to cope with Oliveira.
When it comes to the perfect wager and what I'm betting – Gaethje to win in below 2.5 rounds +325 on PointsBet – it is a ridiculous line that encompasses 75% or extra of his win situation. I anticipate Gaethje’s hanging to hold him to victory right here.
Nevertheless, should you have been to wager each Gaethje and Oliveira to win in below 2.5 rounds (+200) on PointsBet, you really be getting -131 on the below 2.5 rounds prop. This quantity is 56.71% implied whereas the conventional line (-160) is 61.54% implied. You’re getting 5% of implied worth should you have been to wager it this fashion which is gigantic within the sports activities betting recreation.
Oliviera vs. Gaethje finest wager: Gaethje wins in below 2.5 rounds +325 (PointsBet)
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Joe Lauzon vs. Donald Cerrone prediction
Howdy, associate – I say with tears in my eyes.
Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone is one in every of my favourite fighters of all time. The person is an outright legend that's simply too far past his prime to essentially be thought of for any bets as a favourite.
His chin is all however gone, he has subsequent to no energy in his arms, and albeit, he can grapple and never a lot else anymore. Sadly, his opponent Joe Lauzon may grapple. So this combat comes right down to who can win the standing exchanges.
I'm sadly predicting a Joe Lauzon KO on this combat. In the event you observe me on Twitter, I gave this play out earlier within the week and the percentages have since drastically fallen as cash is available in. My play stays the identical, Lauzon wins by KO/TKO.
UFC 274 finest wager: Joe Lauzon by KO/TKO /R1 or 2 KO +550 (FanDuel)
UFC 274 parlay +1263: Williams/Brown GTD (+146) + Oliviera/Gaethje ‘Beneath’ 2.5 rounds (-164) + Lauzon ML (+146) + Shogun/OSP GTD (-250)
This wager was positioned on FanDuel Sportsbook which is providing UFC parlay insurance coverage for 4+ leg parlays as much as $25 for all customers. You wager I’ll be utilizing this one!
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