The 2022 Triple Crown will come to an in depth on Saturday with the 154th working of the Belmont Stakes at Belmont Park in Elmont. The race includes a subject of eight horses, headlined by Kentucky Derby winner Wealthy Strike.
And though Wealthy Strike would be the headliner on this subject, he's not the favourite. The long-shot champion was the third alternative on the morning line with 7-2 odds.
In a small, comparatively weak subject, there’s actually an opportunity that Wealthy Strike — who will run out of the No. 4 place — can win his second race in a row, however on the similar time, we’re speaking a couple of ridiculous drop in worth for a horse that was 80-1 a month in the past. Granted, that was in a wide-open, deep subject that includes 20 horses, nevertheless it’s nonetheless fairly a premium to pay on a horse that no one had heard of earlier than the primary Saturday in Could.
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Normally, the primary query handicappers ask themselves earlier than a horse race is what they wish to do with the favourite. Will they use the chalk or attempt to beat it? However it is a distinctive state of affairs the place the query turns into, what ought to punters do with the third favourite?
That’s as a result of Wealthy Strike will doubtless garner important betting consideration after his efficiency at Churchill Downs 5 weeks in the past. And there are a few colleges of thought with regards to what we noticed with Wealthy Strike on the Kentucky Derby.
The primary college of thought is that it was only a ridiculous outlier in a sport that throws one up once in a while — simply often not in entrance of the worldwide viewers the Derby attracts. Those that are bullish on Wealthy Strike would argue that the horse has continued to enhance all through his profession and we shouldn’t assume that the celebs simply aligned for his stunner in Louisville.
It must also be identified that Wealthy Strike held off two sturdy contenders, Epicenter and Zandon, to win the Derby. There isn't a query that on that day, Wealthy Strike was the most effective racehorse in a subject stuffed with nice racehorses.
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In all probability, the reply is that Wealthy Strike’s efficiency at Churchill Downs was an outlier. It was superior and served as a superb reminder why horse racing is a charming sport to observe and wager on, nevertheless it is unnecessary to wager on Wealthy Strike simply since you missed out.
As a substitute, you will discover worth on a few respectable costs just like the 6-1 on Inventive Minister or the 8-1 on Nest to drag the upset in a subject that appears ripe for one. Inventive Minister ran a recreation third within the Preakness and Nest has a practical likelihood to change into the fourth filly to win the Belmont.
The previous adage means that lightning doesn’t strike twice. And even when it did, wouldn’t you need higher odds than 7-2? If you wish to strike it wealthy within the Belmont Stakes, look elsewhere than the Kentucky Derby winner.
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