Has India’s Kashmir policy under Modi failed?

With violence refusing to abate, the much-touted ‘muscular’ coverage pursued by the BJP isn't working, say consultants, as they urge political engagement.

Modi in Kashmir
In April this 12 months, Modi, centre, visited Indian-administered Kashmir, his first public occasion since New Delhi stripped the area’s semi-autonomy in 2019 [File: Channi Anand/AP]

When Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s authorities unilaterally stripped Indian-administered Kashmir of its restricted autonomy and statehood in 2019, it claimed the transfer would wipe out many years of armed rise up within the area, and usher in peace and growth.

Practically three years later, peace continues to elude the disputed Himalayan valley, with practically every day killings of rebels, Indian safety officers and civilians in gunfights and focused assaults.

Solely this 12 months, greater than 100 suspected rebels, principally younger Kashmiris aged between 18 and 26, have been killed by the Indian police and navy, the area’s police chief Vijay Kumar stated on Wednesday.

The rebels in flip are accused of killing a minimum of 16 individuals this 12 months, seven of them belonging to the minority Hindu neighborhood.

For the reason that abrogation of the particular standing of Indian-administered Kashmir on August 5, 2019, a minimum of 197 safety personnel, 675 suspected rebels and 131 civilians have been killed within the wave of violence that has engulfed the valley.

These embrace the focused killings of a minimum of 23 individuals from the area’s minority, primarily Hindus. Even non-resident Muslim migrant staff from different elements of India have not been spared.

The spiralling wave of violence has prompted critics to wonder if the Modi authorities’s “muscular coverage” in the direction of the nation’s solely Muslim-majority area has failed.

‘Alienation has solely deepened’

After sweeping to energy in 2014, the BJP stated Article 370 of the Indian structure – a particular citizenship legislation that protected jobs and land rights of native residents in Indian-administered Kashmir and which the right-wing celebration had opposed for many years – ought to go.

Revoking the legislation was one of many guarantees within the BJP’s 2019 election manifesto, which noticed Modi return with a bigger majority in parliament.

Inside months of his re-election, Indian-administered Kashmir was stripped of its partial autonomy, divided into two federal territories and introduced below New Delhi’s direct management.


Once you push individuals to the wall, some type of unwarranted scenario is created.

by Mohammad Yousuf Tarigami, Kashmiri politician

Whereas the BJP’s prime management went right into a self-congratulatory mode over the landmark transfer, believing that they had resolved the longstanding Kashmir disaster, the realities within the area have been totally completely different and even belied their claims.

The transfer to strip Indian-administered Kashmir of its restricted autonomy was backed by an unprecedented navy deployment in what was already one of many world’s most militarised areas.

As a part of a “muscular” coverage that Modi’s authorities imposed within the restive area, a whole lot of politicians together with former chief ministers, rights activists, attorneys and college students have been arrested, whereas a safety shutdown within the valley continued for months.

A new domicile legislation was launched that allowed outsiders to completely settle in Indian-administered Kashmir, elevating fears of a demographic change and allegations of a “settler-colonial venture” within the area.

Final month, the Modi authorities launched a listing of redrawn electoral constituencies within the area, giving larger illustration to Hindu areas and drawing condemnation from opposition events who accused New Delhi of “gerrymandering” the area to disempower Muslims.

In keeping with a census performed by India in 2011, out of the area’s complete inhabitants of 12.5 million, Muslims comprise 68.31 % and Hindus 28.43 %. An awesome 96 % of these Muslims reside within the valley.

Kashmir protest
Demonstrators throw stones in the direction of Indian police throughout a protest in Srinagar [File: Danish Ismail/Reuters]

The strikes by Modi’s Hindu nationalist authorities have solely added to the anti-India sentiment within the valley.

“The alienation has solely deepened. An increasing number of individuals getting disillusioned and hopelessness is the norm of the day,” former legislator and left-wing chief Mohammad Yousuf Tarigami advised Al Jazeera.

“Once you push individuals to the wall, some type of unwarranted scenario is created. Violence sadly turns into an possibility for some sections of individuals and that's what is going on right here,” he stated, referring to a spike in violence within the area.

Tarigami is a member of the Folks’s Alliance of Gupkar Declaration (PAGD), an alliance of pro-India political events preventing for the restoration of the area’s particular standing.


We by no means felt unsafe like we do right now. Nothing has modified for us in three many years.

by Ashwini Kumar, Kashmiri Hindu

Mehbooba Mufti, former chief minister of the area and a PAGD member, additionally accused Modi’s authorities of pushing younger males in the direction of an armed resistance via its threatening method.

“An increasing number of younger individuals are operating away from houses and becoming a member of militancy. It's because of the anger and the setting created by the BJP,” she advised reporters final month.

“They (youth) are being killed inside 2-3 days of becoming a member of the armed wrestle, some had not even picked up a gun but. All over the place it's the blood of Kashmiris that's being spilled.”

Mufti stated the BJP features votes in the remainder of India “on this coverage of bloodshed the place they present how a lot they will suppress” the Kashmiris.

“Take a look at what number of they're jailing and the way a lot muscle energy they're displaying,” she stated. “This coverage isn't going to work in Kashmir, on the finish they (BJP) have to come back to therapeutic powerful coverage.”

Kashmir protest
Kashmiri Hindus protest towards the killing of a neighborhood member by suspected rebels in Jammu, Indian-administered Kashmir [File: Channi Anand/AP]

Coverage based mostly on Muslim ‘hatred’

Mohamad Junaid, a Kashmiri tutorial based mostly on the Massachusetts Faculty of Liberal Arts in america, advised Al Jazeera the BJP’s Kashmir coverage relies on its “hatred of Muslims and never on any benign precept” of equal rights and citizenship.

“It's a coverage that seeks to erase Kashmiris and their voices from the general public sphere, in addition to present that the Modi authorities is fulfilling Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh’s need of turning Kashmiri Muslims right into a minority,” he stated, referring to the RSS, the BJP’s far-right ideological mentor fashioned in 1925 alongside the strains of the Nazis in Europe to create an ethnic Hindu state out of a secular India.

Junaid stated the BJP authorities believes its Kashmir coverage “will finish the Kashmir battle in addition to fulfill their right-wing electoral base in India that has been consumed a gentle course of anti-Kashmiri bigotry”.

Consultants say the anti-Muslim hatred behind Modi’s Kashmir coverage has additionally threatened the lives of the minority Hindus within the area, often known as Pandits.

Practically 200,000 Pandits have been compelled to depart the valley after an armed rise up towards New Delhi’s rule and focused killing of the Hindu minority members started within the late Eighties. Whereas official estimates say 219 Pandits have been killed by the rebels through the exodus, right-wing Hindu teams and a current Bollywood movie declare that quantity is in hundreds, with some even calling it a “genocide”.

Since coming to energy in 2014, the BJP below Modi, as a part of its guarantees “of bringing them (Pandits) again to their roots with dignity”, aggressively pushed for his or her rehabilitation in Indian-administered Kashmir.

In 2010, the federal authorities launched a rehabilitation bundle for Pandits, which included authorities jobs and housing. Nonetheless, since final 12 months, a few of the Pandits who returned to the area below the scheme have grow to be victims of focused killings by suspected rebels.

In keeping with an Al Jazeera tally, of the 131 civilian deaths reported within the area since 2019, a minimum of 23 have been non-Muslims, most of them Hindus, who for the primary time in years have taken to the streets throughout the area towards the BJP authorities.

Pandits say they really feel unsafe amid the spiralling violence. Hindu authorities workers have been boycotting their work for over a month in protest towards the killings, demanding to be relocated exterior the turbulent valley.

“We by no means felt unsafe like we do right now. Nothing has modified for us in three many years. How can we reside once we are being killed?” Ashwini Kumar, a 40-year-old Kashmiri Pandit advised Al Jazeera.

Kumar had returned to his native village in Indian-administered Kashmir in 2010 after taking over a job as an engineer.

Family members and relatives mourn as they carry the body of Rafia Nazir, a young Kashmiri woman killed in grenade attack
Folks mourn as they carry the physique of a younger Kashmiri girl killed in a grenade assault in Srinagar [File: Mukhtar Khan/AP]

A lot of the assaults on the area’s minorities and non-residents have been claimed by a little-known armed group known as The Resistance Entrance that surfaced in 2019. In its social media posts, the group says it's “focusing on settlers and those that collaborate with the fascist regime” and are a part of the “settler-colonial venture”.

Consultants say the armed rise up is now changing into more and more residence grown, calling it a “worrying pattern” and asking the federal government for “extra political engagement” with the Kashmiris.

“The claims made to justify the revocation of Article 370 was that it could finish terrorism, and produce growth and large funding in Kashmir and that has not occurred,” Ajai Sahni, political analyst and government director on the Institute for Battle Administration in New Delhi, advised Al Jazeera. “I don’t assume the answer lies on the degree of safety.”

Sahni stated Modi’s authorities is creating “increasingly polarisation and alienation” within the valley. “So so long as that continues, I don’t see a chance of an answer,” he stated.

The BJP rejects the allegations, saying the federal government is making an attempt to deliver “normalcy to the area”.

“Some vested pursuits wish to disturb peace and the federal government has launched an enormous crackdown towards them. It is just the opposition events which can be making noise. Issues are getting regular in Kashmir,” BJP spokesman Ashok Kaul advised Al Jazeera.

Tutorial Junaid, nevertheless, stated what the Modi regime desires in Indian-administered Kashmir “leaves no area for political engagement, simply steady oppression”.

“Kashmiris, after all, is not going to settle for this. For them, these insurance policies are an enlargement of India’s longstanding insurance policies of political repression.”

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