The Phillies’ nine-game successful streak ended on Sunday after a humbling 13-1 defeat to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Nevertheless, after a 9-1 run of their final ten video games, the Phillies are again to .500 (30-30) and three.5 video games out of a wild card spot.
Philadelphia is now in third place within the NL East after shifting forward of the Marlins by two video games. Thus, maybe it’s solely becoming that the 2 groups meet for a three-game sequence after swapping spots within the division. Aaron Nola will get the beginning for the Phillies whereas the Marlins will counter with Sandy Alcantara. The sport will start at 7:10 p.m. ET.
With Philadelphia’s latest successful streak nonetheless contemporary within the minds of MLB followers, sportsbooks would possibly’ve bought a bit forward of themselves by opening the Phillies as excessive as -157 favorites. Let’s study this matchup and assess whether or not we must always belief Philadelphia at such a excessive worth.
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Marlins vs. Phillies MLB odds
Odds offered by BetMGM
Unfold: MIA +1.5 (-175) vs. PHI -1.5 (+145)
Moneyline: MIA (+115) vs. PHI (-140)
Whole: Over 7.5 (-110) | Underneath 7.5 (-110)
Marlins vs. Phillies possible pitchers
Sandy Alcantara (6-2, 1.61) vs. Aaron Nola (4-4, 3.50)
Marlins vs. Phillies prediction
It might be onerous to miss how nicely Alcantara’s carried out this season. In accordance with ESPN.com, he ranks second in baseball with a 3.5 WAR worth. His 1.61 ERA is elite, and his hard-hit charge is a career-best 24.3%.
Alcantara resembles a pitcher from the golden period of baseball. Per CodifyBaseball, he’s had a top quality begin in his final six outings whereas logging 48 innings of labor. That’s a fairly good run contemplating that seven of 9 pitchers who final achieved this feat completed the season with a Cy Younger Award.
As for Nola, he’s additionally coming off an amazing outing the place he pitched eight shutout innings in opposition to the Brewers in a 10-0 Phillies victory. Whereas his numbers are undoubtedly first rate, given his 4-4 report with a 3.50 ERA and a 3.24 FIP, I'm involved about backing him after such a heavy workload.
The final 3 times this season that Nola pitched seven innings or extra, he allowed at the very least 4 runs in his subsequent begin. He would possibly even really feel extra stress to attempt to pitch deep into this recreation and match wits with Alcantara.
Though Nola is usually thought to be Philadelphia’s ace, the Phillies are simply 92-91 in his begins regardless of his 71-53 profession report. It’s value noting that the Phillies have additionally struggled in opposition to the Marlins in Nola’s begins.
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In accordance with our ActionLabs database, Philadelphia is 6-11 on this spot for a lack of -6.77 items. Furthermore, the Phillies are simply 1-6 in Nola’s final seven begins in opposition to the Marlins, together with an 0-4 skid at residence.
With Nola coming off an eight-inning effort, it wouldn’t shock me if he’s not fairly as sharp on this outing. I do know Philadelphia bought loads of headlines after successful 9 straight video games, however Miami quietly has a streak of its personal that’s nonetheless intact.
The Marlins are on a 6-0 (+4.49 items) run with Alcantara on the mound, and I believe they’re a worthy underdog so as to add to any card on Monday night time.
Marlins vs. Phillies decide
Marlins ML +110 (BetMGM)
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