The 2022 Stanley Cup Finals get underway at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday evening with Recreation 1 between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Colorado Avalanche at Ball Enviornment in Denver. The Avalanche verify into the collection as a -175 favourite to win the Stanley Cup and are at present sitting at -160 to win the curtain-raiser.
Even though they're the betting favorites to win Recreation 1, there are some causes to be slightly skeptical that we’ll see Colorado’s finest effort on Wednesday evening. For one, the Avs shall be coming off a nine-day break after sweeping the Oilers within the Western Convention Finals.
Stanley Cup Finals Recreation 1 odds, decide (8:00 PM ET, ESPN)
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Since 2012, there have been 17 collection the place one of many groups within the matchup was coming off a sweep of their earlier best-of-7 matchup. That staff is 7-10 in Recreation 1 within the subsequent spherical. After all, Colorado accounts for a kind of wins once they beat St. Louis in Recreation 1 after sweeping the Predators, however it’s fairly clear that a lengthy interruption does degree the enjoying discipline a bit relating to the NHL. That's excellent news for the underdog.
And it could possibly be significantly excellent news for the Lightning in this type of matchup. We all know that the Avalanche are an offensive juggernaut, so something that throws the Avs off their rhythm and permit Tampa Bay to ascertain a slower tempo is an enormous plus for the Bolts.
The largest benefit on this matchup, nonetheless, is in purpose. Andrei Vasilevskiy stays the NHL’s finest goaltender and has achieved nothing on this postseason to counsel in any other case. After a gradual begin within the Jap Convention Last, Vasilevskiy bounced again into kind to steer the Lightning to 4 straight victories in opposition to the Rangers. Vasilevskiy allowed simply 5 targets within the Lightning’s final 4 wins and solely a kind of tallies got here at 5-on-5. Vasilevskiy has skated to a .928 save proportion and posted a +12.7 Objectives Saved Above Anticipated (GSAx) in 17 video games this postseason.
Colorado’s goaltending scenario supplies extra questions than solutions in the meanwhile. Darcy Kuemper has been introduced because the Recreation 1 starter, however he’s been injured twice within the postseason and hasn’t impressed when he’s been on the ice. Kuemper has skated to an .897 save proportion and -4.4 GSAx in 10 video games and now should take care of getting again into kind after almost two weeks off.
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With Vasilevskiy enjoying behind an in-form Tampa Bay protection on the different finish of the ice, there’s little or no margin for error for Kuemper on this sport. That ought to be slightly worrying for the Avs as their goaltender has but to return near his common season kind this spring.
It’s exhausting to recollect a staff placing collectively a extra dominant run to the Stanley Cup Last than what we’ve seen from Colorado. The Avs have swept two groups, are 12-2 general and have averaged 4.64 targets per sport. Colorado has closed as the favourite in all 14 contests it has performed up to now. And but, there are sufficient indicators right here — together with a very powerful one — pointing to Tampa Bay being a reside underdog in Recreation 1.
The Wager: Tampa Bay Lightning +135 or higher
Odds by way of BetMGM
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