Lower than per week separates golf bettors from the beginning of the 2022 U.S. Open at The Nation Membership in Brookline, Mass.
Because it stands, Scottie Scheffler (+1200) is the favourite to win the occasion. A victory would mark Scheffler’s second main win of the calendar yr after the Texas native gained The Masters in April. Following intently behind on the chances board are defending U.S. Open champion Jon Rahm, this yr’s PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas and four-time main winner Rory McIlroy, all at +1400.
In case you missed my earlier look, I’m already in on each Daniel Berger (+5000) and Justin Rose (+6600) at The Nation Membership. This week, although, we’re specializing in the favorites and which top-tier golfers are price an funding within the futures market.
Listed below are my two favourite bets amongst the highest 15 on the futures boards. Odds come courtesy of BetMGM at time of print.
Finest Guess No. 1: Will Zalatoris (+2200)
Zalatoris has rapidly established himself as a big-game hunter on tour and has continued to provide excellent performances on the majors.
This yr, he tied for sixth on the Masters earlier than dropping in a playoff on the PGA Championship. He additionally tied for fifth final week on the Memorial. In his previous seven main championship appearances, Zalatoris has completed inside the highest 10 six instances.
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His U.S. Open outcomes have been blended. Zalatoris missed the minimize final yr at Torrey Pines — his lone end out of the highest 10 in his previous seven majors — however was tied for sixth in 2020 at Winged Foot. I’m selecting, nonetheless, to put extra emphasis on the latter outcome as a result of Winged Foot correlates nearer to The Nation Membership than Torrey Pines South.
Plus, there are quite a lot of underlying metrics that recommend Zalatoris is an effective match at The Nation Membership. Throughout his previous 24 qualifying rounds, he’s fortieth on tour in good drives gained — outlined as both hitting the green or hitting the inexperienced from the tough. Moreover, he’s ninth on tour over the previous 24 rounds in greens regulation gained.
Zalatoris can also be eleventh in alternatives gained, fourth in birdies gained and fortieth in bogey avoidance over those self same 24 rounds.
Finest Guess No. 2: Matt Fitzpatrick (+2800)
Fitzpatrick’s odds have drifted simply excessive sufficient that he’s now, for my part, bettable at The Nation Membership. These occupied with Fitzpatrick seemingly will keep in mind he gained the 2013 U.S. Novice performed at this similar venue and, like Zalatoris, has performed very effectively this yr within the majors. On the Masters, Fitzpatrick completed in a tie for 14th. At Southern Hills, it was tied for fifth.
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In reality, throw out his missed minimize final week on the Memorial — a course that has by no means suited him — and Fitzpatrick has completed 5-2-MC-14-5 in his previous 5 begins. For the reason that calendar turned to February, Fitzpatrick has completed tenth or higher in six of seven begins when he’s made the minimize.
The underlying metrics are robust on Fitzpatrick, too. Over his previous 24 rounds, the Brit ranks seventh on tour in good drives gained, twelfth in GIRs gained and second in scrambling gained. To not point out he leads the tour in bogey avoidance over those self same 24 rounds.
Be sure you store round on Fitzpatrick’s odds, however I might play him at +2500 or higher to win the U.S. Open.
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