Losers of three straight, the Mets have seen their NL East divisional lead plummet to half a sport over the Braves coming into Sunday.
With the Yankees coming into Citi Subject on Tuesday, it will be cheap to anticipate the Mets to be underdogs in each of these video games this week.
The Mets are nonetheless favorites on Sunday regardless of ice-cold bats and an enormous pitching mismatch. It's powerful to see why oddsmakers have the Padres as underdogs.
Beneath, we get into Sunday’s essential matchup for the Mets.
Mets vs. Padres odds (Sunday 7 p.m. ET)
Odds offered by BetMGM
Unfold: SD +1.5 (-190) vs. NYM -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline: SD (+105) vs. NYM (-130)
Whole: Over 8 (-105) | Underneath 8 (-115)
Mets vs. Padres possible pitchers
Carlos Carrasco (10-4, 4.27) vs. Joe Musgrove (8-2, 2.42)
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Mets vs. Padres prediction
Let’s begin with the pitching matchup. Joe Musgrove is an NL Cy Younger candidate this season; he's at the moment +1400 to win the award on BetMGM (fifth finest). His peripheral numbers are fairly spectacular, too.
In accordance with Baseball Savant, Musgrove ranks above common or nice in most classes. These embody (however are usually not restricted to) hard-hit%, xERA, barrel%, and xSLG. Carrasco just isn't at that degree but this season.
Carrasco was bombed in June, leading to a 6.37 ERA throughout six begins. His three begins in July have proven some important enchancment from the veteran. Nonetheless, these three begins are towards three below-average offenses: the Cubs, Marlins and Rangers.
At face worth, it will seem that the Padres are in the identical boat, rating nineteenth in runs scored this season. Whereas they've struggled to attain at residence, they've the third-best highway offense within the majors.
With Carrasco getting crushed up by good offenses this season, it will seem attainable that a repeat is in retailer. The Mets do want a stopper, so maybe they play in desperation mode.
The Mets are usually not a worthy wager for the night time. As a substitute, the Padres on the runline (+1.5) are -190 and a wonderful wager.
Mets vs. Padres decide
Padres +1.5 (-190) — BetMGM
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