The AFC West has had a completely wild offseason. Tyreek Hill left Kansas Metropolis after being traded to the Miami Dolphins. Davante Adams joined the division after being traded to the Las Vegas Raiders. Highlighting the listing, nonetheless, was Denver sending the farm to unravel their quarterback woes in buying former Seahawks sign caller Russell Wilson.
Wilson has been a prolific passer all through his profession regardless of being in a run-first offense that has usually lacked top-tier receiving choices. Now in Denver, in a high-flying division the place factors are loads, Wilson ought to have the ability to attain new heights as a passer.
This offers rise to the concept of 1 guess specifically being value a wager — that the brand new Broncos quarterback will lead the league in passing yards.
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Russell Wilson: Most Common Season Passing Yards (+1600 FanDuel Sportsbook)
Wilson just about operates as a tier-break when trying on the odds for this guess. Main the way in which is Justin Herbert, adopted by Matthew Stafford, Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes, Derek Carr, Dak Prescott, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and at last Wilson.
Taking a look at that listing, the three different AFC West quarterbacks have higher odds than Wilson, and all 4 are within the prime 9 within the NFL.
It speaks to the expertise of those quarterbacks. Herbert has thrown for 9,350 yards and 69 touchdowns in his first two seasons. Carr has thrown for over 4,000 yards in every of his final 4 campaigns. Mahomes is the all-time chief in passing yards per recreation at 301.4, the one quarterback in league historical past to common over 280 yards per recreation.
Then there’s Wilson, who has by no means thrown for greater than 4,219 yards in a season. He appears to stay out, till you look deeper.
Let’s begin with their cross makes an attempt. Over the course of the careers of those 4 quarterbacks, their common variety of cross makes an attempt per season is:
- Herbert: 633.5
- Mahomes: 577.5
- Carr: 557.0
- Wilson: 473.5
This isn’t a product of Wilson’s lack of expertise or effectivity — it is a product of the Seattle Seahawks’ system. Amongst these 4 quarterbacks, Wilson ranks second in yards per try and yards per completion, behind solely Mahomes in each metrics.
Wilson can be probably the greatest deep-ball passers within the recreation. Final season, on a largely mediocre roster, Wilson had a 112.5 passer score and 9:2 TD/INT ratio on deep passes, and his 978 passing yards on deep passes was third-most within the NFL, per Subsequent Gen Stats.
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Now residing in an offense that ought to permit him to function his arm as a substitute of disguise it, combining extra cross makes an attempt together with his otherworldly effectivity and deep-ball placement, and Wilson has pretty much as good an opportunity as any quarterback to put up league-high passing yards.
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