The Arlington Million takes place in Louisville on Saturday.
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Our horse racing professional delivers your Arlington Million Day picks for all 11 races on Saturday at Churchill Downs.
With Arlington Park completely closed, the race card will probably be run in Louisville. The races will probably be proven on FSI from 12:30 p.m.-3 p.m.; 3 p.m.-6 p.m. on FS2; and 6 p.m.-7 p.m. on FS1.
Arlington Million Predictions
- Race 1, 12:45 – (7) At all times Smiling
- Race 2, 1:19 – (9) Texas Fortunate
- Race 3, 1:53 – (8) Legionnaire
- Race 4, 2:27 – (9) Margoinabubblebath
- Race 5, 3:01 – (4) Rougir
- Race 6, 3:35 – (7) Tshiebwe
- Race 7, 4:09 – (7) Sconsin
- Race 8, 4:43 – (1A) Enchantment Denied
- Race 9, 5:17 – (3) Second Of July
- Race 10, 5:51 – (5) Twilight Blue
- Race 11, 6:25 – (1) Set Piece
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Arlington Million Picks: The Evaluation
12:45, Race 1 – Maiden Particular Weight (6 furlongs, dust)
First-time starter ALWAYS SMILING might have discovered a susceptible discipline for her debut. The Brendan Walsh trainee has posted some quick works. MALAWNIA, a $300K buy, confirmed late kick in her debut and can recognize the stretchout. KENTUCKY REIGNS cuts again in distance and provides blinkers after displaying good velocity in her debut at Ellis Park.
TIP: (7) At all times Smiling Trifecta: 7 – 8 – 5
1:19, Race 2 – Maiden Particular Weight (7 furlongs, dust)
TEXAS LUCKY caught a moist observe in her debut and now cuts again in distance after displaying stalking velocity. Might enhance shortly for coach Ken McPeek. ROMANCE NOVEL has run one of the best velocity figures within the race and coach Dallas Stewart/B.J. Hernandez combo is all the time formidable at Churchill Downs. LUV DRAGON drew the rail and completed fourth at Keeneland in April debut.
TIP: (9) Texas Fortunate Trifecta: 9 – 3 – 1
1:53, Race 3 – Allowance (1 1/16 furlongs, dust)
LEGIONNAIRE, a half to champion Artwork Collector, broke his maiden in final with a robust rally at Ellis Park. There’s loads of velocity on this discipline to arrange his late kick. JELLY NOUGAT engaged in a robust tempo duel final out after breaking his maiden two again. Exterior draw ought to assist his possibilities. TEPEU simply beat a modest maiden discipline at this observe and distance.
TIP: (8) Legionnaire Trifecta: 8 – 7 – 3
2:27, Race 4 – Maiden Particular Weight (6 furlongs, dust)
MARGOINABUBBLEBATH has skilled properly for Eddie Kenneally, who strikes a 21 % fee with 2-year outdated first time starters at Churchill Downs. KEY OF LIFE broke poorly as a heavy favourite in her debut; Brad Cox-trained filly ships in from Saratoga for this spot. MOODY is a $550K buy out of velocity sire MUNNINGS making her debut for Rodolphe Brisset.
TIP: (9) Margoinabubblebath Trifecta: 9 – 7 – 10
3:01, Race 5 – Beverly D (1 1/8 miles, turf)
This Grade 1 occasion drew a surprisingly small and modest discipline. Coach Chad Brown ships in ROUGIR from Saratoga after a fourth-place end in a stronger discipline. Ought to have one of the best closing kick in intently matched group. FAMILY WAY has completed first or second in graded stakes in her final 4 begins for Brendan Walsh. DALIKA faltered in her final however may steal this on the entrance finish.
TIP: (4) Rougir Trifecta: 4 – 2 – 1
3.35, Race 6 – Maiden Particular Weight (6 furlongs, dust)
TSHIEBWE was bought for $475K this yr regardless of a modest pedigree and appears primed to win at first asking for coach Rodolphe Brisset. Coach Dallas Stewart wins with 16 % of his 2-year-old first timers at Churchill, so AMERICAN DOLLARS have to be significantly thought-about. CONFIDENCE GAME has labored properly since ending a distant third in debut.
TIP: (7) Tshiebwe Trifecta: 7 – 9 – 3
4.09, Race 7 – Girl Tak (6 furlongs, turf)
SCONSIN has received three stakes races at this distance at Churchill. Ought to get simply sufficient tempo to cross JOYFUL CADENCE in deep stretch. The latter ran her greatest velocity determine two races again whereas ending second to Sconsin in a Grade 3 occasion. BELL’S THE ONE might have misplaced a step however is 7-for-8 at this distance.
TIP: (2) Sconsin Trifecta: 2 – 3 – 1
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4.43, Race 8 – Maiden Particular Weight (7 furlongs, dust)
APPEAL DENIED had a tricky journey in his first outing and nonetheless flew dwelling for fourth. With that have and an additional furlong to work with, Enchantment Denied can graduate at second asking. Eddie Kenneally-trainee PRO OXIDANT has labored shortly for profession debut. CALL ME FAST engaged in a velocity debut after a sluggish begin and the addition of blinkers ought to hold him extra targeted.
TIP: (1A) Enchantment Denied Trifecta: 1A – 9 – 2
5.17, Race 9 – Allowance Optionally available Claiming (1 1/16 furlongs, dust)
SECOND OF JULY battled onerous all through a mile race at Ellis Park and drained late. Second Of July received on this floor two again and will go wire-to-wire right here. Making his third begin off a layoff, SCARLET FUSION will probably be harmful for a trainer-jockey combo that wins 36 % of the time at Churchill. JENNINGS rallied stoutly to win 2022 debut and may shut for a share on this discipline.
TIP: (3) Second Of July Trifecta: 3 – 1 – 5
5.51, Race 10 – Fort Larned (1 3/16 miles, dust)
This non-graded stakes doesn’t have an apparent frontrunner, which may tip the scales to TWILIGHT BLUE. The 4-year-old colt has proven tenacity whereas battling for the lead in three of his final 4 outings. Joe Sharp, who trains Twilight Blue, may run 1-2 right here as INTREPID HEART has completed first or second in his final 5 begins. MR. WIRELESS received two Grade 3 stakes final yr.
TIP: (5) Twilight Blue Trifecta: 5 – 6 – 3
6.25, Race 11 – Arlington Million (1 1/8 miles, turf)
SET PIECE had visitors hassle in his final outing at Saratoga. With higher luck, Set Piece may roll previous this group within the stretch. The Brad Cox trainee has received 10 of 21 lifetime begins. Extremely-consistent SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT has by no means completed out of the cash, although this will not be his greatest distance. ADMISSION OFFICE received at Churchill off an extended layoff, then was compromised by a sluggish tempo in his final begin.
TIP: (1) Set Piece Trifecta: 1 – 4 – 7
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