Jets quarterback Zach Wilson has gotten fairly the eye this offseason, nevertheless it has extra to do along with his play off the sphere than on the gridiron.
And whereas skilled athletes usually describe the taking part in area as their sanctuary, Wilson must reply questions on distractions if he fails to take the following step in his development as an NFL quarterback.
In my AFC East preview, I couldn’t decide to greater than a lean for the Jets to go over their projected win complete of 5.5 video games.
On the time, my goal was to guage the roster, however immediately, my focus might be on the quarterback place with the hopes of higher assessing Wilson’s season-long yardage and landing props.
Additionally learn: Jets 2022 betting preview
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Beneath 3500.5 Passing TDs (+112) (FanDuel) – 0.5 models
After throwing 2,334 yards, Wilson is getting fairly a bump in his second season with a projection of three,500.5 passing yards. Primarily based on the 13 video games he performed final yr, Wilson averaged 179.5 yards per recreation.
Nonetheless, backup quarterback Mike White had a better passing common with 238.3 yards per recreation.
What’s shocking is Wilson threw the ball down the sphere greater than White. Per Professional-Soccer-Reference.com, Wilson averaged 7.6 meant air yards per move try whereas White averaged 5.9.
Sadly, accuracy was an issue for Wilson. In keeping with rbsdm.com, Wilson had the worst completion share over expectation (CPOE) margin for any quarterback with not less than 200 snaps.
The Jets additionally usually trailed of their video games, so it must be no shock they ranked third with a move play charge of 63.32 %.
Whereas I do know New York’s entrance workplace beloved Wilson’s 73.5 % completion charge in his remaining yr at BYU, he did end with a 65.9 % and 62.4 % completion charge in his earlier two seasons.
Thus, I’m undecided whether or not his final yr was extra of a fluke, however we’ll know fairly rapidly if his accuracy as an NFL-level quarterback improved in the course of the offseason.
I have to admit that I’m barely involved since I’m primarily fading the market with Wilson’s passing yards juiced to the over. Nonetheless, I’ve bought to see it with my very own eyes first, so I’ll roll the cube and lay a half-unit on the underneath.
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Beneath 20.5 Touchdowns (-112) (FanDuel) – 1 unit
If I’m taking part in Wilson to go underneath his passing yardage, it’s solely truthful I additionally double down with an underneath on his landing prop. Wilson threw solely 9 touchdowns final season. Furthermore, within the three video games which the Jets gained with him because the starter, he averaged one landing per contest.
If we count on New York to be a greater crew this yr, I feel the offense might be extra balanced because the Jets look to additional the event of their second-year quarterback.
Wilson’s accuracy contained in the pink zone will undoubtedly want to enhance as he threw just one extra landing than White (5) regardless of having 32 extra move makes an attempt.
Jets followers will hope that Wilson follows within the footsteps of one other younger quarterback within the division. In Josh Allen’s second season with the Payments, he elevated his completion charge from 52.8 % to 58.8 %. His passing yards additionally shot up from 2,074 to three,089.
Lastly, his touchdown-to-interception ratio improved from 10-12 to 20-9.
Nonetheless, the Jets are ranging from a decrease energy score given their 4 wins in Wilson’s rookie season, in comparison with six wins in Allen’s first yr.
Wilson can even must show that he can keep on the sphere as his 6-foot-2 body with 214 kilos is way slighter than Allen, who's listed at 6-foot-5 and 237.
I’m not dashing to place Wilson in Allen’s firm simply but. So I can solely look to the underneath in his landing prop.
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