With the NFL season beginning this week, there are only some days left to establish values within the preseason participant props market. And few supply extra tantalizing upside than betting on the sacks chief.
By nature, sacks are considerably unstable yr to yr, and elite cross rushers might be mined with superior stats even when they aren’t tallying excessive sack totals. That leaves loads of alternative for the savvy preseason bettor to reap the rewards on rising sack artists.
Listed here are the preseason odds at BetMGM to steer the NFL in sacks in 2022 (+5000 and shorter), together with our three finest bets:
2022 NFL sack chief odds (through BetMGM)
| Myles Garrett | +650 |
| T.J. Watt | +700 |
| Aaron Donald | +1200 |
| Trey Hendrickson | +1200 |
| Nick Bosa | +1400 |
| Joey Bosa | +1400 |
| Danielle Hunter | +1400 |
| Chandler Jones | +1600 |
| Khalil Mack | +1600 |
| Maxx Crosby | +1800 |
| Shaquil Barrett | +2000 |
| Micah Parsons | +2000 |
| Cameron Jordan | +2000 |
| Robert Quinn | +2500 |
| Von Miller | +2500 |
| Za’Darius Smith | +2500 |
| Matthew Judon | +2500 |
| Haason Reddick | +2500 |
| Markus Golden | +3000 |
| Rashan Gary | +3000 |
| Chris Jones | +3000 |
| Chase Younger | +4000 |
| Brian Burns | +4000 |
| Leonard Floyd | +4000 |
| Demarcus Lawrence | +5000 |
| Emmanuel Ogbah | +5000 |
| Yannick Ngakoue | +5000 |
| Marcus Davenport | +5000 |
| Sam Hubbard | +5000 |
| Josh Allen | +5000 |
| Jeffery Simmons | +5000 |
| Bradley Chubb | +5000 |
| Aiden Hutchinson | +5000 |
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T.J. Watt, Steelers (+700)
I’m normally not one to guess the highest few selections in a market this deep, particularly with the unstable nature of sack totals on a year-to-year foundation. However this feels downright disrespectful to Watt, who led the league in sacks in 2020 (15) earlier than tying the NFL single-season report for sacks (22.5) in 2021.
Maybe the craziest half is he did the latter in simply 15 video games, which might counsel a whopping 25.5-sack tempo throughout a full 17-game season. He could not attain these lofty heights in 2022, however he’d missed simply two video games in his total profession earlier than final season and has totaled not less than 13 sacks in 4 consecutive seasons.
Clearly, the ground is sky-high for Watt, who paced the sphere by 4 sacks a yr in the past and has upped his whole each season of his five-year profession. Even some minor regression from one of the best defender in soccer might nonetheless money once more on this market.
Maxx Crosby, Raiders (+1800)
We highlighted Crosby as one in all our finest bets to win NFL Defensive Participant of the Yr just a few weeks again, so naturally we love his probabilities to steer the league in sacks, as nicely.
Crosby’s by no means been a excessive sack whole man, tallying a mixed 25 sacks in three seasons, however a more in-depth have a look at his pass-rushing profile tells a unique story. In 2021, he led the league in hurries (77) and QB hits (20), per PFF, whereas ending second in total pressures (108). He additionally boasted the best pass-rush win charge (26.8 p.c) amongst these with not less than 100 makes an attempt, which is a key indicator for future sacks.
It’s solely a matter of time earlier than Crosby’s incessant strain on opposing quarterbacks turns into sacks, particularly with elite cross rusher Chandler Jones (+1600) on the opposite aspect. At this worth, Crosby is a serious darkish horse.
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Brian Burns, Panthers (+4000)
Burns has been an analytics darling for just a few years now, churning out pressures with out changing them into excessive sack totals. It appeared like he may take the leap a yr in the past; as a substitute, he posted almost equivalent totals from his 2020 marketing campaign.
May this be the yr he lastly places all of it collectively? The Panthers edge rusher will as soon as once more be a staple for this sneaky Carolina protection, which ought to boast a greater secondary than in 2021. That’s excellent news for Burns, who owns among the many finest pass-rushing arsenals in soccer however has totaled simply 9 sacks in consecutive seasons. He’s nicely value a long-shot wager right here.
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