Can the SCO be Turkey’s alternative to the West?

Erdogan suggests Turkey will search full membership of the Russia and China-led Shanghai Cooperation Organisation amid strained ties with the West.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan shake hands
Erdogan and Putin shake palms throughout a gathering on the sidelines of the SCO summit in Uzbekistan on September 16 [Alexander Demyanchuk/Sputnik via Reuters]

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has expressed his NATO-member nation’s intention to turn into a member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), suggesting Ankara is looking for options to its problematic ties with the West.

Erdogan, who made the remarks after attending final week’s SCO summit in Uzbekistan, was additionally quoted as saying by the Turkish media that the SCO’s 2023 assembly in India will likely be a venue to debate this prospect additional.

China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, Pakistan, India and Uzbekistan are the complete members of the of the political, financial, and safety organisation.

Afghanistan, Belarus, Iran, and Mongolia are SCO observer international locations, whereas Armenia, Azerbaijan, Cambodia, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Turkey are the bloc’s dialogue companions.

“Our ties with these international locations will likely be moved to a a lot completely different place,” Erdogan instructed reporters on Saturday.

When requested by reporters if he meant Turkey would search to turn into a member of the organisation, the president mentioned: “In fact, that’s the goal.”

The SCO will not be seen as a substitute for NATO, a army alliance with collective defence obligations underneath Article 5 of its founding treaty, which considers an armed assault towards a number of members to be thought-about “an assault towards all”.

Mensur Akgun, a professor of worldwide relations, instructed Al Jazeera that the SCO is an hybrid bloc that seeks to stop a vacuum in Central and South Asia by way of cooperation.

“It goals to extend dialogue and cooperation, clear up issues amongst its members when wanted and stand in solidarity with each other towards interventions within the area by exterior powers,” he mentioned, including that the SCO is nearer to the mannequin of the European Union than to NATO.

“An organisation that has arch-rivals India and Pakistan underneath its umbrella wouldn't be capable of have computerized army interdependence like NATO has,” Akgun mentioned.

Akgun additionally mentioned that rising political and financial ties between Turkey and Russia lately contributed to Erdogan’s remarks on SCO membership, particularly contemplating Turkey’s typically tense relations with Western powers.

Turkey purchased Russia’s S-400 defence methods, which prompted US sanctions along with Turkey’s elimination from a US-led programme growing F-35 fighter jets. Russia can also be constructing Turkey’s first nuclear energy plant and the 2 international locations signed an financial cooperation deal in August.

Regardless that Turkey and Russia backed opposing sides in Syria’s warfare, the 2 international locations have largely coordinated intently through the battle.

The Turkish authorities has additionally taken a balanced stance over Moscow’s February invasion of Ukraine. It has supplied Ukraine with arms, specifically with drones, however it has not imposed sanctions on Russia and criticised what it calls Western insurance policies “based mostly on provocations” in the direction of Moscow.

Ankara has tried to act as a mediator between Russia and Ukraine for the reason that starting of the battle and helped dealer an settlement in July for Ukrainian grain ships to sail to exterior markets.

Strained ties with the West

Galip Dalay, an affiliate fellow at Chatham Home in the UK, mentioned that Erdogan’s remarks on SCO membership stem from Ankara’s tensions with the West.

“Each time there may be discontent with the West – specifically, with the US [over] the notion that Turkey is handled unfairly – the thought of options come up,” he instructed Al Jazeera.

“And due to that Ankara at the moment believes Turkey’s pursuits are higher served by a balancing act between completely different centres of powers – that means China, Russia and the West,” Dalay mentioned.

Ankara has additionally been at odds with the US and sure EU member states over their assist for Syrian Kurdish fighters who allied with the West within the struggle towards ISIL (ISIS) within the war-torn nation.

Turkey considers the Syrian Kurdish Folks’s Safety Models (YPG), the primary a part of the anti-ISIL alliance, to be an extension of the outlawed Kurdistan Employees’ Occasion (PKK), which has been preventing towards the Turkish state for many years.

Erdogan threatened to dam Sweden and Finland’s NATO bids over what he mentioned was their assist for these teams, however lifted his opposition after a gathering with US President Joe Biden in June.

Following the transfer, Biden expressed assist for gross sales of F-16 jets to Turkey – warplanes at the moment in use and inferior to the F-35s in improvement. Nevertheless, he wants the approval of the US Congress for the transfer.

In July, the US Home of Representatives accepted an modification creating a brand new hurdle for Biden’s plan to promote F-16s to Turkey, imposing strict circumstances to any gross sales.

Erdogan mentioned final week that his authorities may take into account different choices if the US is unable to fulfil its promise to supply the jets.

Not too long ago, escalating tensions within the Mediterranean Sea between NATO members Turkey and Greece have additionally prompted the EU and the US to sentence Turkey.

Ankara and Athens are at odds over an array of points resembling overflights, the standing of islands between the 2 international locations, maritime boundaries and hydrocarbon sources.

Nevertheless, Akgun believes that Turkey is unlikely to realize SCO membership for a number of causes, contemplating the bloc’s construction and functions.

“Turkey’s membership to the SCO doesn't appear potential as a NATO member and an EU candidate, but in addition as a result of it's at the moment geographically and politically irrelevant to the SCO’s functions of existence,” Akgun mentioned.

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