Exact Super Bowl matchup predictions: Bet on new QBs

When you thought betting on the Tremendous Bowl winner was exhausting sufficient, attempt betting on each side.

The payouts are huge for individuals who can precisely predict each finalists for this 12 months’s NFL championship. That’s a lot simpler mentioned than finished: loads of of us – myself included – picked the Rams to make it forward of final season, however who anticipated the Bengals to be there? Even the matchup between the Chiefs and Buccaneers two years in the past would have paid out practically $3,000 on a $100 guess, even with out betting on the final word winner.

This market is actually only a parlay on two convention title futures, that are exhausting sufficient to hit in their very own proper. That mentioned, in the event you’re trying to dabble on this market, it helps to consider correlations. What would this 12 months’s Tremendous Bowl matchup appear to be if, say, defenses reigned supreme? What if younger QBs lastly seized the day, or the league’s prime rushers grew to become the most important X-factors?

With that in thoughts, listed here are our three favourite precise Tremendous Bowl matchups to guess at BetMGM forward of the 2022 season:

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Chiefs vs. Buccaneers (+2500)

We simply noticed this matchup play out two years in the past in probably the most anticipated quarterback clashes in Tremendous Bowl historical past. It’s famously exhausting to make it again the next 12 months – however why not guess on an encore this season?

Tom Brady.
Tom Brady throughout preseason motion.
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The Buccaneers are the clear favorites to emerge from the NFC (+325) with the same core to the one which gained all of it in 2020. And whereas the Chiefs have the second-best odds within the AFC (+500), the favored Payments are clearly inflated throughout this market as straightforward public fodder. That leaves this as one of the best matchup to focus on at an affordable value, particularly provided that these two quarterbacks personal six convention titles within the final six seasons.

Broncos vs. 49ers (+8000)

I’m a giant subscriber to the “one QB away” principle in the case of betting title futures. We’ve seen two straight Tremendous Bowl winners accomplish that with a brand new quarterback: the Buccaneers (2020) and Rams (2021) each had title-ready rosters and an enormous gap below middle, and each gained all of it after getting their man.

Russell Wilson.
Russell Wilson within the preseason.
Getty Pictures

Might we see that development proceed in 2022? The clearest examples in each conferences are the Broncos and 49ers, each of whom have had Tremendous Bowl aspirations however lacked a dynamic passer to hold all of them the way in which. That’s very true for Denver, which hasn’t made the playoffs since Peyton Manning retired after successful all of it in 2015.

The Broncos lastly have their reply in Russell Wilson, who beat Denver within the Tremendous Bowl in 2013 and has been a perennial MVP candidate in recent times. The 49ers are hoping No. 3 decide Trey Lance can observe the same trajectory within the wake of the Jimmy Garoppolo period. Historical past says each are in a robust place to make the leap with a brand new signal-caller.

Ravens vs. Eagles (+15000)

The NFL has been trending towards dual-threat dominance for years, even when it hasn’t resulted in a title for any of the league’s premier dashing QBs. What if that lastly modified this season?

Jalen Hurts.
Jalen Hurts scrambles within the preseason.
Getty Pictures

The Ravens practically pulled it off in 2019, once they set an NFL report for dashing yards (3,296) in Lamar Jackson’s MVP marketing campaign and entered the postseason as +200 favorites to win all of it. Clearly, that didn’t occur, however Jackson is a extra polished passer than he was then and is surrounded by arguably essentially the most proficient group that he’s had since coming into the league in 2018.

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In the meantime, the Eagles are in the same state of affairs to these ‘19 Ravens, constructing round a rush-first QB with passing upside and a loaded roster round him. I’m extra skeptical of Jalen Hurts now than I used to be of Jackson three years in the past, however each are dynamic sufficient to trigger complications for opposing groups, particularly with this wave of elite passers forcing defenses to commit fewer sources to stopping the run. Ultimately, it’ll catch as much as the league, and these groups can be the clear beneficiaries.

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