The Bengals had been a yr forward of schedule with final season’s beautiful run to the Tremendous Bowl as preseason lengthy photographs. However a loss on the large stage may set them again a yr, too.
That will appear dramatic to say about one of many league’s most enjoyable younger rosters, led by two 25-and-under stars in Joe Burrow (25) and Ja’Marr Chase (22). These two are a key purpose why Cincinnati is dealing at 20/1 (BetMGM) to win the Tremendous Bowl simply months after coming oh-so-close to successful its first championship in franchise historical past.
It’s simple to imagine that this crew will solely get higher over time, particularly with Burrow’s anticipated progress after two stellar seasons and the complete roster strengthened by playoff expertise. But it’s not often that straightforward for Tremendous Bowl runners-up, who usually face a precarious path again to the Tremendous Bowl — and even the postseason.
You don’t should look again very far to see the woes going through groups coming off such a pivotal loss. The final three groups to lose within the Tremendous Bowl — the Rams (2019), 49ers (2020), and Chiefs (2021) — all went below their win complete the next season. The Rams and 49ers, specifically, missed the playoffs altogether regardless of coming into that following season with double-digit win totals and among the many shortest odds to win all of it.
This isn’t a brand new phenomenon, both. Since 2001, solely 5 of the 21 groups that misplaced within the earlier yr’s Tremendous Bowl went over their win complete, and 10 of them missed the playoffs solely with eight posting shedding information.
That doesn’t bode properly for the Bengals, who personal arguably the least full roster of that bunch and are tied for the fourth-lowest win complete (9.5) of any of these 21 Tremendous Bowl losers. With low expectations come substandard outcomes: The opposite 5 groups with a single-digit win complete averaged simply 7.4 wins of their encore season, with three going below their win complete and in the end lacking the postseason.
Declare a Danger-Free First Wager as much as $1,000
New clients solely. Should be 21+. AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY solely. (Welcome Provide not obtainable in NY & PA) Full T&C apply.
First guess up To $1,250 On Caesars
New customers solely, 21 or older. NY, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, MI, NV, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV solely. Full T&Cs apply.
Wager $5, Win $150 in Free Bets
21+. New clients solely. AZ, CT, IA, IL, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, WV, WY solely. T&C apply
- Take a look at extra of the Finest Sportsbook Promo Codes
Clearly, the market tends to overvalue groups coming off a Tremendous Bowl look, no matter what the roster appears to be like like the next season. We’ve seen that overcorrection immediately over the previous 20 years: since 2000, groups coming off a title loss are a surprising 4-18 towards the unfold in Week 1 with 14 outright losses in 22 tries. All however six of them had been favored.
You may all however neglect a couple of crew’s title hopes within the yr after such a crushing loss. Because the Payments reached (and misplaced) 4 consecutive title video games within the early Nineteen Nineties, solely the 2018 Patriots have made it again to the Tremendous Bowl after shedding it the yr earlier than. They’re certainly one of simply eight groups in NFL historical past to try this, with 4 of them coming earlier than 1990.
After all, the Bengals may shock the world and make it again to the large sport, very similar to they did with final yr’s unprecedented run. However don’t fall for the simple story of this younger crew making the following leap after a feel-good title run.
As historical past tells us, it’s by no means fairly that straightforward.
Post a Comment