Week 2 of the faculty soccer season presents bettors with a enjoyable train. After spending all summer season attempting to get a good learn on a group and the way it will carry out for the upcoming season, Week 1 comes alongside and modifications all the things. However ought to it?
Most skilled bettors will let you know that Week 2 (or Sport 2) of a given season is one in all their favourite spots to handicap. The working concept is that the market will usually overadjust based mostly on a group’s season-opening efficiency, which permits savvy gamblers to make the most of mushy numbers.
However like something in sports activities betting, it isn’t that easy. Positive, the market will overreact in some spots, however there’s additionally the very actual chance that what we noticed out of a group in Week 1 is the beginning of a pattern.
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One group that matches that state of affairs is Florida. After listening to the consultants hype Utah as a School Soccer Playoff darkish horse all summer season, the Gators took down the Utes as 2.5-point house underdogs in Week 1. It was a masterful efficiency by Florida quarterback Anthony Richardson, who logged two explosive runs and three dashing touchdowns to guide his Gators to a 29-26 victory. Richardson’s Heisman odds have been slashed in half off his riveting exhibiting.
The look-ahead line for No. 12 Florida’s SEC opener in opposition to No. 20 Kentucky was round 4 factors, relying on the sportsbook. As anticipated, the Gators’ efficiency in opposition to the Utes (along with some lineup points for Kentucky) has bumped that quantity as much as -6.
Kentucky checks into The Swamp off a 37-13 win over Miami (Ohio), through which it coated the 15-point unfold. On the floor, all the things checked out for the Wildcats, however their dashing assault stalled and it was the protection that led the best way.
Quarterback Will Levis appeared comfy, throwing for 303 yards and three touchdowns with one interception, however being that environment friendly in opposition to Florida is a a lot steeper job than doing so in opposition to a MAC protection.
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Equally, it will not be a shock for Richardson to search out life tougher in opposition to a Kentucky protection that excels at stopping explosive performs and boasts probably the greatest tackling items within the nation. Nearly as good as Richardson was on the bottom in opposition to Utah, his aerial numbers didn’t leap off the web page.
There’s a transparent blueprint right here for Kentucky. Pressure Richardson into passing downs and depend on the protection to maintain him in examine. The Wildcats have the personnel to execute that recreation plan, and in the event that they do, this recreation would turn into a lot nearer to a coin flip. That’s how the Motion Community’s projection mannequin sees the sport, as we make Florida a 2-point favourite at house.
There weren’t many people backing Florida for a giant season in 2022, however the Gators turned that on its head by scoring one of the vital notable ends in Week 1. Now comes the exhausting half. Was what the Gators did in opposition to Utah an indication of issues to return or is the market giving Billy Napier’s facet an excessive amount of love in opposition to a harmful Kentucky group?
In a recreation that appears as if it may very well be an actual grind with skinny margins, there’s worth on the underdog within the Swamp on Saturday at +6 factors and +180 on the moneyline.
Kentucky vs. Florida choose
Kentucky +6, +180 (BetMGM)
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