Mathew Barzal’s Islanders future could hinge on bounce-back season

The opening of Islanders coaching camp close to, so the sport of making an attempt to determine how one can get essentially the most out of Mathew Barzal is about to renew. And this time, the stakes are greater.

That's not simply because Barzal, 25, is coming off a season during which he scored simply 59 factors, a career-low over an 82-game season, as he struggled to click on with any mixture of linemates and the Islanders struggled to place collectively a coherent offensive assault. It's as a result of this would be the final season of Barzal’s three-year, $21 million bridge deal, after which he'll hit restricted free company with only a 12 months to go earlier than eligibility for unrestricted free company.

Barzal has stated he needs to stay an Islander for the long run, however because the franchise is aware of properly, minds can change. And even when that's Barzal’s intention, there's at all times the fact that a one-year bridge deal may give him extra eventual leverage than signing a long-term contract subsequent summer time. A lot of that calculation — on normal supervisor Lou Lamoriello’s finish in addition to Barzal’s — will come all the way down to how he performs this season below the auspices of recent coach Lane Lambert.

“We'd like him to be at his greatest each night time to ensure that us to have success,” Lambert stated Tuesday, earlier than the Islanders opened up rookie camp. “The one factor I’ve discovered about Mat, actually over the past 4 years, is his progress as a participant. As an general participant. And his level manufacturing might have dropped a bit of bit, nevertheless it’s the opposite areas of the sport the place he’s improved.”

Mathew Barzal
Mathew Barzal
Corey Sipkin

Whereas ready to see what adjustments from former coach Barry Trotz to Lambert, who was affiliate coach below Trotz, that's an attention-grabbing message to emphasize concerning the crew’s greatest offensive expertise.

It is perhaps true that Barzal has change into extra accountable for protection as he has spent extra time within the league, and it’s actually the case that the Islanders need that out of all their facilities. However the underlying numbers help the top-line assertion that final season was a setback for Barzal.

Not counting his two-game stint with the Islanders in 2016-17, Barzal’s 48.72 anticipated objectives share at five-on-five final season was the worst of his NHL profession, per Pure Stat Trick, and a drop of greater than eight p.c in comparison with 2020-21. Ditto for his 48.08 high-danger likelihood share, which fell from greater than 60 p.c the 12 months prior. That backs up the attention check. Barzal appeared for lengthy stretches as if he had been making an attempt and failing to open holes for teammates as an alternative of the entire group making one another higher.

“To ensure that him to assist us, he’s gonna be that dynamic man,” Lambert stated. “That man who’s pushing the tempo and utilizing his teammates and making his teammates higher round him.”

Going into the offseason, a scoring winger — presumably to play alongside Barzal — was atop the Islanders’ want listing. That didn't occur, so the Islanders will go into camp with the identical want as final season — a winger who can replicate Jordan Eberle’s chemistry with Barzal — and the identical group of gamers from which to fill it.

Amongst Islanders wingers who performed greater than 100 minutes with Barzal final season, simply two had greater than a 50 p.c anticipated objectives charge alongside him, per Pure Stat Trick — Anders Lee and Kyle Palmieri. Lee, who discovered chemistry with Brock Nelson late within the season, is way from a lock to play subsequent to Barzal when the season opens on Oct. 13.

Anthony Beauvillier and Oliver Wahlstrom each have expertise and must put it collectively. Josh Bailey performed with Barzal and Lee for lengthy stretches of final season with uninspiring outcomes, and Zach Parise appeared to work for stretches on Barzal’s left. However certainly it could be higher for all concerned if the Islanders may discover a youthful, extra dynamic mixture.

“I really feel very comfy that we've the gamers right here that may complement Mat and Mat complement them,” Lamoriello stated final month.

Precisely who these gamers are, although, can’t be answered fairly but.

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