Going into the weekend, the New York Mets had been 0.5 video games behind the Atlanta Braves within the NL East. Two wins later and the Metropolitans are actually 1.5 video games above Atlanta within the desk and their odds to win the division have shortened to -220.
The Mets have a golden alternative so as to add some extra respiration room to their divisional lead on Monday evening, as they’re sitting as -320 favorites over the 58-82 Chicago Cubs at Citi Discipline. Ought to the road shut on this vary, it is going to be the twelfth time the Mets went off at -300 or larger (per Motion Labs). They're 7-4 on this spot on the season.
One have a look at the pitching matchup and it's fairly clear why the worth on the Mets is so excessive.
First pitch between the Mets and Cubs is at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sept. 12. It may be seen regionally on SNY.
Mets vs. Cubs odds
Odds offered by Caesars Sportsbook
Unfold: CHC +1.5 (+115) vs. NYM -1.5 (-135)
Moneyline: CHC (+240) vs. NYM (-305)
Whole: Over 8 (-110) | Below 8 (-110)
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Mets vs. Cubs prediction
The ever-reliable Chris Bassitt will toe the rubber for the Mets and checks into this matchup in critical kind. The 33-year-old right-hander has logged a 1.75 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over his final seven begins (46.1 innings), bringing his season-long ERA down to three.24. Opponents are hitting simply .233 in opposition to Bassitt on the 12 months.
And whereas he’ll by no means be a prolific strikeout artist, Bassitt continues to be a grasp of inducing weak contact. He ranks within the 91st percentile in onerous hit price, 96th percentile in common exit velocity and 79th percentile in barrel price.
Bassitt ought to be capable to discover success in opposition to a Cubs offense that grades out as bang-average (.705 OPS, 98 wRC+ and .310 wOBA) in opposition to right-handed pitching this season.
Javier Assad will counter Bassitt in a matchup that pits a gradual veteran in opposition to a rookie making his fifth Main League look. It’s onerous to venture how a pitcher like Assad will fare on a game-to-game foundation, however he’s been ample in his first 15.1 innings within the Present. The 24-year-old right-hander has a 2.98 ERA and 1.43 WHIP throughout his 5 appearances, although his 4.28 xFIP suggests his numbers may negatively regress.
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Oftentimes in conditions like this, the place one workforce has the whole lot to play for and the opposite has nothing at stake, bookmakers will inflate the quantity on the previous and drive punters to pay a little bit of a premium. That appears to be the case with this tilt, as Sean Zerillo’s Motion Community MLB Mannequin tasks the Mets as a -240 favourite at dwelling on Monday evening.
As a substitute of specializing in the moneyline, bettors can discover some worth by backing the in-form Bassitt in opposition to a subpar Cubs offense.
Mets vs. Cubs choose
Cubs Crew Whole Below 3 runs (-130, FanDuel)
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