After a wild offseason of strikes, retirements, and un-retirements, the NFL lastly returns on Thursday Evening Soccer because the Rams host the Tremendous Bowl-favorite Payments. Looking forward to the brand new season, there are many methods to sprinkle some cash on the season-long prop bets.
MVP
BLEZOW’S BREAKDOWN: There’s a motive the highest 15 names on the MVP odds board are quarterbacks. QBs have received the award 9 straight seasons and 14 of the previous 15. In case you are tempted by the longer odds on star gamers at different positions, know that Cooper Kupp’s close to 2,000 receiving yards garnered the nod from simply one of many 50 voters, they usually all yawned at T.J. Watt’s 22.5 sacks. So choose a passer, however slender the parameters just a little extra. You need one who can win at the least 12 video games and likewise has an interesting narrative as a result of, keep in mind, this award is chosen by people. I doubt anybody actually needs to offer it to Aaron Rodgers for the third yr in a row. For me, it comes all the way down to Josh Allen versus Justin Herbert. Allen loses Brian Daboll and carries excessive expectations. You recognize Herbert offers you the yards; if he turns the Chargers into winners, the MVP could possibly be his.
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WINNER
Justin Herbert, +850
FINE FAVORITE
Josh Allen, +700
LIVE LONG SHOT
Trey Lance, 30/1
Odds by way of BetMGM
PASSING YARDS
BLEZOW’S BREAKDOWN: Tom Brady and Justin Herbert have been the one two to throw for five,000+ yards final season. Brady received by 212 yards, however I can’t see the ageless GOAT hitting these heights once more after lacking a piece of coaching camp and now being coached by the uninspiring Todd Bowles. If Herbert captures the MVP, it’ll in all probability be as a result of he wins this market. Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, Russell Wilson and Josh Allen all in all probability play a number of too many bad-weather video games to win this, so look as an alternative at indoor passers Matthew Stafford and Derek Carr (now throwing to Davante Adams). Downlist, keep watch over Kirk Cousins, who performs indoors, throws to Justin Jefferson and now has an offense-minded coach (Kevin O’Connell).
WINNER
Justin Herbert, +700
MID-RANGE THREAT
Derek Carr, 10/1
LIVE LONG SHOT
Kirk Cousins, 20/1
RUSHING YARDS
BLEZOW’S BREAKDOWN: Final yr on this house, I attempted to beat Derrick Henry. Whereas the Titans’ tank did break down and miss half the season, my man, Dalvin Cook dinner, got here in fifth however wasn’t even shut. Jonathan Taylor ran away with this prop by 552 yards over No. 2 Nick Chubb. This season, I’m not going to attempt to dethrone the king. I determine Taylor may have easy crusing on an indoor monitor with 37-year-old Matt Ryan all too pleased to offer him the ball all recreation lengthy. For that motive I’m not going wherever close to the opposite favorites who're 10/1 or shorter. As a substitute, I’m taking a look at guys on groups with questionable quarterbacks, Najee Harris (Steelers) and Rashaad Penny (Seahawks). Washington’s Antonio Gibson could possibly be price some pizza cash at 30/1.
WINNER
Jonathan Taylor, +375
MID-RANGE THREAT
Najee Harris, 16/1
LITTLE BIT LONGER
Rashaad Penny, 18/1
RECEIVING YARDS
BLEZOW’S BREAKDOWN: Cooper Kupp received this simply for his backers in 2021, coming in 331 yards forward of runner-up Justin Jefferson. I anticipate Kupp will give it a superb go once more, based mostly on his efficiency within the postseason, when defenses knew he could be getting the ball and couldn’t cease him even just a little. However as an alternative of going all the best way to Los Angeles, let’s take a junket to Vegas and go along with Davante Adams. He was third on the record final season however now trades November and December at Lambeau Area for the quick, indoor monitor off The Strip. Derek Carr won't be probably the most correct quarterback however he received’t be shy about heaving the ball downfield in Adams’ path typically. One other strong alternative is Ja’Marr Chase, whose 1,455 yards final season could be a place to begin.
WINNER
Davante Adams, 12/1
FINE FAVORITE
Ja’Marr Chase, 11/1
LIVE LONG SHOT
Deebo Samuel, 25/1
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OTHER NFL WAGERS WORTH MAKING
In 2021, these additional props went 3-1, successful on Buccaneers Over 12.5 wins, Daniel Jones Below 3,800.5 passing yards and Trevor Lawrence Over 235.5 dashing yards, and dropping on Below 20.5 for the highest sack man as T.J. Watt registered 22.5. The three-year file is 8-4, heading into these 4 predictions:
Eagles (+130) to win NFC East
The Boids surpassed the +150 Cowboys as division favorites this week, so clearly I’m not the one one who believes the division is there for the taking. With La’el Collins and Amari Cooper gone, Tyron Smith damage and Ezekiel Elliott ageing, Dallas’ offense has taken an enormous hit. Can’t wait to see what Jalen Hurts can do with A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert.
AFC to win Tremendous Bowl (-130)
Three of the highest 5 groups on the percentages board are the Buccaneers, Rams and Packers, however I don’t love any of these groups this season. My Tremendous Bowl choose is the Chargers, but when they will’t do it, give me the sturdy, chalky Payments or Chiefs.
Derek Carr Over 4,499.5 passing yards (-115)
In fact he must keep wholesome, however this complete is 305 yards fewer than what he achieved final season, and now he has Davante Adams to go along with Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow.
Kyle Pitts Over 69.5 receptions (-115)
In all probability my favourite guess of all of those. Pitts had 68 receptions final yr however now he’s undoubtedly the No. 1 goal on a group that will probably be trailing loads.
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