Steelers vs. Bengals prediction: Week 1 NFL picks as Joe Burrow battles Mitch Trubisky

Our NFL betting skilled affords his greatest betting picks and predictions for the matchup between the Steelers and Bengals scheduled for Sunday in Cincinnati at 1 p.m. ET on CBS.

The Bengals are the defending AFC champions for the primary time because the Nineteen Eighties and are aiming to be one of many high groups within the NFL, whereas the Steelers start the post-Ben Roethlisberger period with Mitchell Trubisky at quarterback.

Steelers vs. Bengals picks

  • Bengals to cowl -6.5 unfold @ -110 through Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 44.5 complete factors to be scored @ -110 through Caesars Sportsbook
  • Joe Burrow to high 1.5 passing touchdowns @ -154 through Caesars Sportsbook
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Steelers vs. Bengals prediction and evaluation

Cincinnati has gained the previous three video games towards Pittsburgh after dropping the earlier 11 (together with playoffs) and the setting is predicted to be raucous for the primary residence recreation because the stellar Tremendous Bowl run.

Bengals -6.5

Let’s make it easy — the explanation why the Bengals went from six wins over two seasons to the Tremendous Bowl is due to star quarterback Joe Burrow. He set franchise information of 4,611 yards and 34 touchdowns passes final season and is a strong chief.

Joe Burrow.
Joe Burrow throwing a go in warmups earlier than a preseason recreation.
Getty Pictures

The Cincinnati offense figures to be higher this season as wideout Ja’Marr Chase might take a ahead step in his second season. That might be scary for NFL defensive backs as Chase’s 1,455 receiving yards final season have been essentially the most by a rookie within the Tremendous Bowl period.

Working again Joe Mixon (1,205 dashing yards in 2021) is also a fixture on the offense. Defensively, the trio of defensive finish Trey Hendrickson (career-high 14 sacks), linebacker Logan Wilson (career-best 98 tackles) and S Jessie Bates III (88 tackles) helped the Bengals make the required enchancment.

Can Trubisky wade into ‘The Jungle’ in his Pittsburgh debut and rating a victory? Cincinnati will probably be electrical and we see the Bengals having fun with the celebration.

Our Choose: Bengals to cowl -6.5 unfold

Steelers vs. Bengals over 44.5

Trubisky gained a three-way battle with first-round decide Kenny Pickett and holdover Mason Rudolph and the Steelers really feel they acquired a free-agent steal. At 28, he ought to be capable to deal with taking part in in Roethlisberger’s shadow higher than if Pickett have been named the starter.

Trubisky is 29-21 as a starter though his four-year stint with the Chicago Bears is regarded upon as a downer. The No. 2 general decide in 2017 can play with out expectations in Pittsburgh with a crew that may additionally win video games on the defensive aspect.

Mitch Trubisky.
Mitch Trubisky throwing a go within the preseason.
Getty Pictures


4-time Professional Bowl linebacker T.J. Watt matched Michael Strahan (2001) for essentially the most sacks (22.5) in a season because the stat turned official in 1982, whereas falling simply wanting the unofficial mark owned by Al “Bubba” Baker (23 in 1978). Defensive finish Cameron Hayward (10 sacks) and S Minkah Fitzpatrick (career-best 124 tackles) are additionally strong.

Working again Najee Harris was a power with a rookie-best 1,667 scrimmage yards and the Steelers determine to offer him quite a lot of work. There's sufficient offense at work on this recreation to see the overall going over.

Our Choose: Over 44.5 complete factors to be scored

Joe Burrow over 1.5 TD passes

Pittsburgh’s greatest probability at profitable consists of conserving Trubisky out of dangerous conditions so the Bengals ought to see loads of Harris (over 62.5 dashing, -109). Maintain the chains transferring and make it simpler for Trubisky (over 1.5 passing TDs, +126) to maneuver the crew inside scoring vary.

Burrow (over 1.5 passing TDs, -154) has thrown 5 landing passes in three video games towards the Steelers. The No. 1 general decide in 2020 will even search to hook up with Chase (over 5.5 catches, -108) as typically as doable.

Betting on the NFL?

To not be forgotten is that Mixon rushed for a career-high 165 yards and located the tip zone twice towards Pittsburgh final November. Mixon (over 73.5 dashing yards, -137) figures to have extra success within the opener.

Watt will convey the strain. However Burrow will stand cool and deal with it to select aside Pittsburgh in the midst of the sector.

Our Choose: Joe Burrow to throw greater than 1.5 landing passes

Steelers vs Bengals Odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Right at time of publishing and topic to vary.

Whole Factors 44.5StaffUnfoldMoneyline
Over -110Steelers(+6.5) -110+228
Underneath -110Bengals(-6.5) -110-285

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