Sudan coup leader bids to co-opt pro-democracy movement

Mohamad Hamdan Dagalo, often known as Hemeti, has tried to achieve out to Sudan’s pro-democracy motion, regardless of his involvement in October’s coup in opposition to the nation’s civilian authorities.

Sudan protesters
Sudan's pro-democracy motion has carried out common protests since a army coup in October [File: Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah/Reuters]

Almost a yr after backing a coup in Sudan, the dreaded paramilitary chief Mohamad Hamdan Dagalo is making an attempt to promote himself as a helpful companion for the pro-democracy teams which have been recurrently protesting in opposition to the nation’s army rule for months, his critics and a few analysts say.

In latest weeks, Dagalo – higher often known as Hemeti – has declared the October 25, 2021 coup a failure because of the ongoing protests and a spiralling economic system, and touted his efforts to cut back violence in Sudan’s uncared for peripheral areas.

However because the chief of the Speedy Help Forces (RSF), a bunch extensively blamed for killing greater than 120 protesters within the capital of Khartoum in June 2019, many within the pro-democracy motion don't belief Hemeti.

“Hemeti is aware of that the army coup failed … that’s why he's now claiming to help the individuals of Sudan. However all he needs is energy within the subsequent authorities,” mentioned Sammer Hamza, a 25-year-old pro-democracy activist.

Hemeti is extensively thought of a shrewd and calculating determine after turning on his earlier sponsor and Sudan’s former President Omar al-Bashir in April 2019. He finally turned the second-in-command to prime military Normal Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, his companion within the coup.

Now after months of cracking down on pro-democracy demonstrators, the RSF chief is backing efforts to type a civilian authorities to safe standard and worldwide legitimacy whereas strengthening his place by way of al-Burhan, in line with activists and analysts.

Competing for buddies

In 2013, the RSF was fashioned out of the tribal militias that spearheaded mass killings within the western province of Darfur. Al-Bashir feared he is likely to be toppled by his personal army or intelligence items, so he integrated Hemeti and his males into the army in change for loyalty and safety.

The transfer troubled senior officers from Sudan’s Armed Forces (SAF) who noticed the RSF as a menace to their legitimacy. Al-Burhan and Hemeti at the moment are in competitors to be Sudan’s prime safety chief.

For the reason that coup, al-Burhan has leaned on members from al-Bashir’s Nationwide Congress Social gathering (NCP) – a part of the Islamic motion in Sudan – for political help.

Many figures from this motion despise Hemeti for what they are saying is a betrayal of his former ally.

Pressured right into a nook, the RSF chief is now making an attempt to curry favour with pro-democracy factions to safeguard his political future.

“We affirm our aspiration for the revolutionary forces to comply with type a completely civilian authorities to finish the duties of the transitional interval, in a means that can lay the grounds for actual democratic change,” he tweeted on September 16.

Whereas the pro-democracy motion as a complete opposes Hemeti, some elite politicians see him as a instrument to isolate al-Burhan and his constituency of NCP officers, says Kholood Khair, the founding father of the Khartoum-based think-tank Confluence Advisory.

“The issue with selecting [Hemeti] over [al-Burhan] … is you're probably hastening a confrontation between the 2,” she instructed Al Jazeera. “It makes zero sense to show one in opposition to the opposite, because it solely implies that one will win and never that each will likely be neutralised.”

Different politicians imagine that it's mandatory to include the RSF, or else the group might be a serious spoiler for any new transition.

“We'd like all armed teams on board. That is the bottom price for us, in any other case the associated fee will likely be very excessive,” mentioned Ammar Hammoda, a spokesman for the Forces for Freedom and Change Central Command (FFC-CC) which is a free coalition of political events and certainly one of Sudan’s important opposition blocs.

Safety sector reform

The FFC-CC helps a brand new transitional draft structure that requires a civilian prime minister to command the safety forces and oversee safety sector reform, which is a key demand of the pro-democracy motion.

Real reform requires the RSF – and different armed teams – to partially disarm and demobilise after which combine the remainder of their males into the army, which might in principle strip Hemeti of his political and monetary energy.

Nevertheless, earlier contexts present that armed teams subsumed into the army remained in possession of their profitable belongings and territory and maintained their command-and-control constructions.

One such case is the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the place members of an insurgent faction joined the armed forces after the tip of a civil battle in 2003 earlier than later forming the M23 revolt in opposition to the state in 2012.

Hemeti nonetheless faces a tricky selection, says Jonas Horner, an knowledgeable on Sudan and a former researcher for the Worldwide Disaster Group.

“By refusing to subsume the RSF into SAF, Hemeti dooms the paramilitary RSF to be a secondary companion within the army and in politics, at the same time as he dooms his extra private ambitions if he subsumes his drive into the SAF,”  Horner mentioned.

Al Jazeera has tried to contact the spokesman of the RSF, Osman Mohamad Hamid, for remark, however he had not responded on the time of publication.

Political ambitions?

Hemeti is rumoured to harbour wishes to run in any eventual elections since rising to energy in 2019. Driving these suspicions is the marketing campaign he has launched to rehabilitate his popularity and enhance his picture.

“Crucial factor for Hemeti is for his RSF to be seen as official, moderately than seen as a militia,” Hammouda mentioned.

The marketing campaign has seen the RSF cooperate with assist teams, finance human rights activists, and rent lobbyists with affect in the USA. Most lately, Hemeti posed for a photograph with youngsters, claiming to be a champion of kid rights, regardless of reviews that his personal drive has recruited youngsters to battle on behalf of the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen.

“Hemeti is certainly making an attempt to sanitise his picture,” mentioned Khair.

Hemeti’s efforts haven't modified the opinion of Sudan’s resistance committees, neighbourhood teams who've saved the hope of democracy alive by means of coordinating nationwide protests for the reason that coup. They're calling for each Hemeti and al-Burhan to face justice for the killing of no less than 117 anti-coup protesters.

For them, any union of comfort with Hemeti could be a horrible mistake that will allow him to consolidate energy at a later time.

“The resistance committees know that Hemeti is in a nook and that he simply needs to be a part of the following authorities so he doesn’t lose legitimacy,” Hamza, the pro-democracy activist, instructed Al Jazeera. “But when given the chance, he or al-Burhan would wage one other coup.”

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