2022 NFL MVP odds: It’s time to pay attention to Tua Tagovailoa

Does Tua Tagovailoa have your consideration but?

The Dolphins quarterback put the league on discover with top-of-the-line comebacks in NFL historical past on Sunday, erasing a 21-point deficit within the fourth quarter to guide the Dolphins to an exhilarating 42-38 highway win over the Ravens.

He completed with 469 yards and 6 touchdowns – one shy of the all-time single-game file – and have become simply the fifth NFL quarterback ever to throw 4 passing touchdowns within the fourth quarter. He additionally tied the franchise file for passing TDs, beforehand set by Corridor of Fame passers Bob Griese (1977) and Dan Marino (1986).

Naturally, the betting market was fast to react to Tagovailoa’s historic day, pricing the third-year passer at 16/1 at BetMGM to win this yr’s MVP award as of Tuesday night. That ranks sixth on the board, simply forward of three-time winner Tom Brady (18/1) and two-time reigning winner Aaron Rodgers (20/1).

Only a week in the past, Tagovailoa was nonetheless dealing as a 40/1 lengthy shot, down from 50/1 coming into the season and as excessive as 150/1 earlier this summer season. Is that this leap for actual? And is there nonetheless worth on Miami’s ascending star?

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2022 NFL MVP betting odds forward of Week 3 (by way of BetMGM)

Josh Allen+300
Patrick Mahomes+450
Justin Herbert+1000
Jalen Hurts+1000
Lamar Jackson+1100
Tua Tagovailoa+1600
Tom Brady+1800
Aaron Rodgers+2000
Joe Burrow+2200
Kyler Murray+2500
Russell Wilson+2500
Matthew Stafford+3000
Derek Carr+4000
Kirk Cousins+4000
Jimmy Garoppolo+5000
Trevor Lawrence+6600
Justin Jefferson+6600
Derrick Henry+8000
Cooper Kupp+8000
Mac Jones+8000
Daniel Jones+8000

Tua Tagovailoa’s case to win 2022 NFL MVP

Getting into this season, it felt like the whole betting market had bailed on Tagovailoa, who entered his third yr as an MVP lengthy shot (50/1) after a rocky begin to his professional profession. However the proof of a possible breakout was clear to see.

The previous Alabama star all the time has had the expertise to supply at an elite degree, as evidenced by Miami taking him sixth total in 2020 regardless of a extreme hip damage that restricted him in his rookie season. A yr later, he struggled in his first yr as a full-time starter because of an uninspiring supporting solid, a dreadful offensive line, and a severe lack of assist from his teaching workers.

That each one modified this summer season. The Dolphins employed progressive younger coach Mike McDaniel, whose offensive creativity was central to San Francisco’s success lately regardless of substandard QB play. They signed All-Professional left sort out Terron Armstead and traded 5 draft picks for blazing wideout Tyreek Hill, who pairs with Jaylen Waddle for arguably the very best receiving duo within the league.

Lastly, top-of-the-line quarterback prospects in latest reminiscence was surrounded with the expertise and training to showcase his immense ability set. And it hasn’t taken lengthy to see the outcomes.

Tua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa
Getty Photographs

By two weeks, Tagovailoa leads the NFL in passing yards (739) and touchdowns (7) and ranks second in QBR (87.1). After years of being criticized for his arm power, he ranks third in yards per try (8.9) and leads the league in air yards (430), and he paces the sector in passing makes an attempt that traveled no less than 30 yards (5), 40 yards (4), and 50 yards (2).

The third-year star has settled into a perfect function because the “level guard” for this offense, already having accomplished 59 passes to 10 totally different receivers. McDaniel’s scheme is getting essentially the most out of Hill (284 yards) and Waddle (240), who're each just too quick to include with single protection, and Tagovailoa is each sensible sufficient and correct sufficient to make defenses pay for doubling both one.

We noticed all of it on show on Sunday, when Tagovailoa picked aside the smooth protection for a Ravens protection that was terrified to get beat deep – and regularly bought beat deep, anyway. And whereas throwing six TDs isn’t precisely a first-class ticket to successful MVP, it positive helps. Six of the final 20 gamers to throw for six touchdowns in a recreation gained the award that season, and it’s a listing you’re acquainted with: Peyton Manning (2003, 2004, 2013), Tom Brady (2007), Aaron Rodgers (2014), and Patrick Mahomes (2018).

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Lastly, Tagovailoa seems to be like an actualized model of the famous person prospect that got here out of Alabama in 2020. He’ll be examined in a giant manner this week towards the division rival Payments and MVP favourite Josh Allen, who's coming off a pair of electrical performances in prime time. It’s an unbelievable alternative for Tagovailoa to validate his MVP credentials, or to be humbled after a stellar begin to the McDaniel period.

Both manner, all eyes shall be on the Dolphins passer – lastly – after top-of-the-line performances in NFL historical past. And if final week was any indication, he’s prepared for the highlight.

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