Can an African team reach the World Cup 2022 semi-finals?

The continent’s representatives must punch above their weight in Qatar as no African nation has made it previous the last-eight of the World Cup.

Senegalese soccer fans celebrate as they await the return of their national football team in Dakar
In 2002, Senegal turned the primary African crew to undergo a World Cup group stage undefeated [Sylvain Cherkaoui/AP Photo]

There was an unmistakable glass ceiling over Africa at soccer World Cups.

In reaching the quarter-finals within the 1990 World Cup, Cameroon set a benchmark that has not been bettered but. Senegal and Ghana additionally reached the last-eight, in 2002 and 2010 respectively, however the continent’s story of the tape on the worldwide stage has been considered one of relative underachievement.

Powered by Roger Milla’s swivelling hips and a fearless athleticism, Cameroon’s Indomitable Lions have been the shining mild of the 1990 World Cup in Italy. Wins over holders Argentina, Romania and Colombia set the bar excessive and, for the primary time, an African facet claimed three wins at a World Cup.

That efficiency was broadly anticipated to herald a brand new age of accomplishment. It additionally appeared to justify Pele’s assertion that an African crew would win the World Cup by 2000.

Nevertheless, that prediction would finally fall brief.

However in 2002, Senegal staked claims for the large prize. Amid a hail of falling seeds early on, the crew set out its stall by beating reigning champions France and turning into the primary African crew to undergo a World Cup group stage undefeated.

They have been finally undone by fatigue and a golden objective, however that success launched the mainstream enchantment of Senegalese soccer.

In 2010, Ghana have been the one considered one of six representatives to advance from the group stage in South Africa.

The Black Stars, combining the expertise of their debut in 2006 with the promise of their 2009 under-20 World Cup profitable crew, performed organised, disciplined soccer and, after wins over Serbia and the USA, got here inside a handball of a spot within the semi-finals.

So, has all that promise and hope disappeared?

The lack of African groups to cross this rubicon is related to the continent’s financial disadvantages relative to Europe and South America.

In line with the World Inhabitants Overview, going by gross nationwide revenue per capita (as of 2020), 9 of the ten poorest international locations on the planet are in Africa.

This creates a snowball impact that impacts the continent’s potential, proscribing improvement, enabling corruption and impeding professionalism.

Members of the Senegal National Soccer Team celebrate as they arrive in a bus after their Africa Cup win, in Dakar, Senega
Senegal have essentially the most forgiving draw, having been drawn with hosts Qatar, Ecuador and the Netherlands in Group A [File: Zohra Bensemra/Reuters]

Africa’s World Cup outings have been suffering from scandal, largely about unpaid wages, that has led to opprobrium and derailed focus.

“The politics is simply too carefully concerned within the soccer,” former DR Congo worldwide Gabriel Zakuani instructed Al Jazeera.

“With African international locations, it performs such an enormous half, particularly for the native gamers who rely on these bonuses. If that doesn’t occur, the main focus shifts away from soccer. In order that’s one thing that needs to be taken care of earlier than you get to the World Cup or a significant match.”

One other huge speaking level is the restricted variety of slots given to Africa for the World Cup.

For a continent comprising 54 member nations, it solely will get 5 slots, and that, too, solely since 1998.

Compared, Europe, with 55 eligible nations, will get 13, and South America, with solely 10 nations, will get between 4 and 5.

From a purely probabilistic standpoint, this severely reduces Africa’s odds of constructing an impression. It additionally means Africa’s World Cup qualification is without doubt one of the most tough to barter.

Within the late 2000s, Egypt bizarrely didn't make the 2006 and 2010 editions, regardless of profitable three straight Africa Cups of Nations and defeating Italy on the 2009 Confederations Cup.

This 12 months, Nigeria and Ivory Coast, each a number of African champions, will miss out along with Egypt and Algeria.

Following his facet’s elimination from the reckoning, South Africa coach Hugo Broos voiced a preferred sentiment on the continent: “It's not truthful, it's simpler for good groups in Europe to qualify for the World Cup than [good teams] in Africa.” Broos instructed SA newspaper The Citizen.

Nigeria's Odion Ighalo celebrates scoring their first goal with team mates
Nigeria, one of many fancied African sides, didn't qualify for the World Cup in Qatar [Mohamed Abd El Ghany/Reuters]

Promising Lions

Cameroon, Morocco, Senegal, Tunisia and Ghana will characterize Africa at Qatar World Cup.

All 5 have appeared at soccer’s greatest occasion beforehand. Cameroon, Morocco and Senegal made it to the last-eight of the Africa Cup of Nations earlier this 12 months.

Event expertise won't be briefly provide, and neither will star energy.

Reigning African champions Senegal boast Sadio Mane, Cameroon’s Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa has been top-of-the-line midfielders within the Italian top-flight, Ghana’s diaspora recruitment drive will see them line up the likes of Inaki Williams and Tariq Lamptey along with Ajax’s Mohammed Kudus and Arsenal’s Thomas Partey, and Morocco’s wing-back Achraf Hakimi is without doubt one of the greatest gamers on the planet in his place.

In line with 1994 African Footballer of the Yr Emmanuel Amuneke, Senegal and Morocco characterize the continent’s greatest probability of success within the Center East.

“The 5 groups have been examined sufficient in latest friendlies they usually know they have to first come out of the group earlier than considering of a semi-final ticket,” Amuneke mentioned. “One step at a time will do. The match in Qatar is a superb alternative for African groups to repair what occurred in Russia when no crew progressed into the second spherical.”

Qualified teams for Qatar football World Cup 2022His optimism is shared by Zakuani, who was much more bullish on Senegal’s prospects.

“I feel there’s all the time a wildcard on the World Cups,” Zakuani mentioned. “I fancy Senegal to get to the semi-finals. Lots of people might have a look at me like I’m loopy however for me, Senegal are the crew that may shock everybody this time round.

“The 5 African groups will certainly be on the market to compete. I don’t suppose they’ll be there to make up the numbers. There’s numerous promise and expertise.”

It helps that Senegal have essentially the most forgiving draw, having been drawn with hosts Qatar, Ecuador and the Netherlands in Group A.

Morocco, Cameroon, Tunisia and Ghana all have daunting teams to navigate by means of, with Belgium, Brazil, holders France and Portugal the highest seeds of their respective teams.

The problem earlier than Africa’s representatives has by no means been more durable. If they're to interrupt that tumbler ceiling, they may actually should earn it.

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