Confidence is usually a fragile factor. You may have a wealth of data and knowledge and traits and chances, however you continue to can have a nasty week selecting video games, or betting video games, or deciding on fantasy starters.
Because the begin of the season, the Madman has been excessive on the Raiders’ offense. We now have been assured it would ship a fantasy payoff. We nonetheless harbor perception that can be so.
However their poor efficiency so far has destroyed any confidence that turnaround, or perhaps a spike, will come this week.
Las Vegas has to face the Broncos. Certain, the Denver D doesn’t invoke the kind of worry, fantasy or in any other case, because it did in its Von Miller heyday just a few years again, nevertheless it nonetheless has confirmed robust towards opponents — each in actual life and in fantasy.
Denver’s opponents have run simply 160 performs on the season, the second-lowest complete within the league (Payments, 158). The Broncos have allowed simply 4.7 yards per play, which is the sixth-best. They've given up simply 36 factors over three video games, additionally the second-best (Buccaneers, 27).
Now some may wish to add: However they didn’t play any good offenses. And that's true. They confronted the Seahawks with Geno Smith at QB, the Davis Mills Texans and the 49ers with Jimmy Garoppolo making his first begin this season. None of these matchups strike worry into defensive coordinators.
However right here’s the factor: Do the Raiders at this level? Certain, they've some names. Derek Carr has been good in spurts over the course of his profession, however nobody is scouring movie for some huge secret of methods to cease Derek Carr. Very often, he finds a solution to cease himself.
How about Davante Adams? Everybody is aware of he's an distinctive expertise, so what provides? Why is a man who has persistently been within the prime two amongst fantasy WRs dropped to eleventh, and falling?
Adams had a blockbuster Week 1, third highest amongst WRs with 30.1 in PPR codecs. In two video games since, he ranks forty first amongst WRs. Plus, tight finish Darren Waller has simply been OK.
Final week, it was Mack Hollins who as an alternative was the primary man, with eight catches for 158 yards and a landing. However will he duplicate that profession efficiency? It was simply the seventh time in 68 profession video games during which he had no less than 50 yards. What occurs if Hunter Renfrow returns?
And that’s addressing the troubles on the Raiders’ aspect of the ball. Right here’s a reminder: The Broncos’ protection has been fairly good. In truth, Denver has allowed 3.4 PPR factors per week fewer to WRs than some other crew. It is without doubt one of the 5 stingiest versus opposing QBs. RBs don’t fare any higher, dealing with the second-stiffest D versus fantasy RBs.
However hey, no less than the Broncos rank within the backside third towards tight ends. So Waller ought to … properly, hopefully not be as TD-dependent as he has been so far.
Certainly one of these weeks, the Raiders are going to pop. Simply don’t guess on it being this week.
Large weeks
Rashaad Penny RB, Seahawks, at Lions (FanDuel $6,700/DraftKings $4,900)
The Lions’ protection is the worst within the league vs. opposing fantasy RBs thus far, and has even confronted the Commanders’ gentle floor menace.
D’Onta Foreman RB, Panthers, vs. Cardinals (FD $4,700/DK $4,000)
If CMC misses the sport Sunday, we like Foreman for his TD potential greater than Chuba Hubbard’s PPR upside — until you had been capable of seize Khalil Herbert or Jamaal Williams off waivers earlier this week.
Richie James WR, Giants, vs. Bears (FD $5,500/DK $4,000)
The one different Large Blue WR with double-digit targets this yr is Sterling Shepard, who's now out for the season. If Kadarius Toney ever performed, we might be screaming about him.
T.J. Hockenson TE, Lions, vs. Seahawks (FD $5,400/DK $4,100)
Amon-Ra St. Brown is out, D.J. Chark and Josh Reynolds are questionable, and versatile RB D’Andre Swift is uncertain. May be an opportunity for Hockenson (additionally questionable, however we anticipate him to play) to point out off a bit with added quantity.
Small weaks
Jeff Wilson Jr. RB, 49ers, vs. Rams (FD $7,000/DK $5,400)
The Rams have the third-best protection towards opposing fantasy RBs, permitting 8.8 fewer per week than the league common.
Justin Jefferson WR, Vikings, at Saints (N/A)
Anticipate him typically to be shadowed by Marshon Lattimore, because the Saints did final season with some success (Jefferson was simply 4-for-55). The Eagles and Lions saved a lid on him the previous two weeks.
Christian Kirk WR, Jaguars, at Eagles (FD $7,600/DK $6,600)
Eagles CBs James Bradberry and Darius Slay current troublesome matchups for Kirk. We anticipate some factors, so we’re increased on Zay Jones and Marvin Jones Jr. on this matchup.
Garrett Wilson WR, Jets, at Steelers (FD $6,100/DK $5,400)
Will probably be his first sport with Zach Wilson, in Zach’s first sport again from a preseason harm, dealing with a Steelers protection that may generate turnovers in bunches. Give it every week or two first.
Fantasy Madness’s Day by day Duel
Drew Loftis and Jarad Wilk submit dueling rosters right into a DFS contest:
Website: FanDuel
Slate: Solar. principal (12 video games)
Sort: $5 tourney
Prime prize: $300K
Pot: $1.8M
Drew’s Crew
QB — Lamar Jackson (Bal, vs. Buf) $8,800
RB — Jamaal Williams (Det, vs. Sea) $7,400
RB — Khalil Herbert (Chi, at NYG) $7,200
WR — Stefon Diggs (Buf, at Bal) $8,700
WR — Isaiah McKenzie (Buf, at Bal) $5,900
WR — Devin Duvernay (Bal, vs. Buf) $5,700
TE — Mark Andrews (Bal, vs. Buf) $8,400
Flex — Robert Tonyan (GB, vs. NE) $4,900
DEF — Raiders (LV, vs. Den) $3,000
Wilk’s Warriors
QB — Jacoby Brissett (Cle, at Atl) $6,800
RB — Jamaal Williams (Det, vs. Sea) $7,400
RB — Saquon Barkley (NYG, vs. Chi) $8,100
WR — Stefon Diggs (Buf, at Bal) $8,700
WR — CeeDee Lamb (Dal, vs. Was) $6,800
WR — Amari Cooper (Cle, at Atl) $7,500
TE — Pat Freiermuth (Pit, vs. NYJ) $5,600
Flex — Breece Corridor (NYJ, at Pit) $6,300
DEF — Raiders (LV, vs. Den) $3,000
Season risked: $27
Season winnings: Drew $0, Jarad $0
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