After a profitable school soccer play on Central Michigan in opposition to Penn State for final week’s ugly underdog, the ache practice travels to Kinnick Stadium on Saturday for Iowa in opposition to Michigan.
The No. 4 Wolverines handed their first true check of the 2022 season final Saturday, however a 34-27 win over Maryland isn’t something to jot down dwelling about, particularly as a result of Michigan closed as a 17.5-point favourite.
Maryland put up 397 yards of complete offense and hung with the Wolverines your complete sport, which isn't signal for a protection that got here into the season with query marks after it misplaced Aidan Hutchinson and David Ojabo to the NFL.
5 totally different Maryland receivers had been credited with an explosive catch in opposition to Michigan, and the Wolverines barely created any stress within the backfield. Iowa’s offense could also be horrible, however its offensive line stays a power and will be capable to deal with this Wolverines entrance seven.
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Bear in mind, Michigan’s secondary was a query mark coming into the season. After it confronted three quarterbacks with out a heartbeat, Maryland’s Taulia Tagovailoa had success getting the ball downfield with 4 Terps receivers averaging 13.0 yards or extra per reception.
J.J. McCarthy will get one other begin beneath heart for Michigan with Cade McNamara nonetheless recovering from an damage. After lighting it up in opposition to also-rans Hawaii and UConn, McCarthy struggled when he needed to step up at school in opposition to Maryland.
Nonetheless, the Michigan offense ranks fifth in dashing success fee, seventeenth in line yards, thirty fifth in passing success fee and eleventh in ending drives, however these numbers are possible a bit inflated given the standard of competitors.
Iowa’s power of schedule additionally leaves rather a lot to be desired, however the Hawkeyes have but to permit a group (South Dakota State, Iowa State, Nevada and Rutgers) put up greater than 10 factors in a sport this season.
The Hawkeyes protection ranks nineteenth in dashing success fee, eighth in line yards, seventh in passing success fee and fifth in ending drives, so they need to match up nicely in opposition to an offense that has run the ball on 61 % of snaps as a result of the quarterback can’t be trusted.
There's little or no margin for error for Iowa’s protection, although, because the offense sits exterior the top-120 in dashing success fee, passing success fee, line yards and ending drives.
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Quarterback Spencer Petras confirmed some indicators of enchancment in opposition to Rutgers final Saturday, however it’s nonetheless going to be a ground-and-pound strategy from the Hawkeyes.
Backing an Iowa offense that has scored three touchdowns in 4 video games isn't the perfect option to spend a Saturday afternoon, however the protection needs to be stout sufficient to maintain the Hawkeyes in a matchup in opposition to a Michigan group that's overvalued based mostly on its opening schedule.
And with neither quarterback in nice kind, each Michigan and Iowa will lean closely on the bottom sport, which retains the clock transferring and shortens the sport. That’s all the time excellent news for underdogs, particularly after they’re getting greater than a landing.
Michigan vs. Iowa decide
Iowa +10.5 (FanDuel)
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