Packers vs. Patriots predictions: Aaron Rodgers plays chess with Bill Belichick

Our NFL betting skilled brings you his greatest Packers vs. Patriots predictions and picks for his or her NFL Week 4 showdown, which is reside Sunday on CBS at 4:25 p.m. ET.

Aaron Rodgers and the Inexperienced Bay Packers pulled out a win towards Tom Brady final week, and now they’ll attempt to conquer his former workforce, which is making an attempt to get better from a sloppy loss in its house opener.

Packers vs. Patriots predictions

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Packers vs. Patriots picks and evaluation

Though it’s early within the season, Inexperienced Bay and New England are two groups trending in fully reverse instructions.

Because of a formidable backfield duo and a younger receiving corps beginning to settle in, the Packers have rifled off back-to-back wins. In the meantime, the Patriots seemingly have already got one foot within the abyss of the AFC East and are actually searching for salvation from Brian Hoyer, who can be stepping in beneath heart for an injured Mac Jones.

Bill Belichick
Invoice Belichick
Getty Photographs

Beneath 40.5 whole factors

Because the saying goes, offense sells tickets, and protection wins championships. Whereas that is likely to be true in some instances, it fails to say that the latter additionally snuffs the over.

Anticipate that to occur on Sunday.

New England permits 23.7 factors per recreation, however that quantity is barely inflated as a result of its 37-26 loss towards the Ravens final week. The Packers’ protection has been much more spectacular, limiting opponents to a mean of simply 15 factors, which ranks sixth within the NFL.

The final time Brian Hoyer began a recreation for the Patriots, they scored simply 10 factors. Be prepared for the same quantity this time round, and don’t be banking on Inexperienced Bay hanging upwards of 25 factors, both.

Our Decide: Beneath 40.5 whole factors @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook

Packers -2.5 first quarter unfold -125

Inexperienced Bay gave up a discipline aim on the opening drive of final week’s recreation towards the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and instantly responded with a landing, which finally capped the scoring by means of the primary quarter-hour of motion.

Replicating that blueprint, or a Mason Crosby discipline aim and a few stops, could be sufficient for this wager to money — there’s a very good probability of that taking place based mostly on the obvious first-quarter hex that’s been positioned on Brian Hoyer.

In his final 9 begins, no matter who he’s been enjoying for, Hoyer’s groups have been trailing by no less than three heading into the second quarter on seven events. On high of that, New England hasn’t lined a +2.5 first-quarter unfold in two of its first three video games this season.

Any early factors from the Packers other than a security must be greater than sufficient to make this decide a very good one.

Our Decide: Packers to cowl -2.5 first quarter unfold @ -125 with Caesars Sportsbook

Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers
Getty Photographs

Betting on the NFL?

Robert Tonyan over 25.5 receiving yards

After tearing his ACL throughout Inexperienced Bay’s Week 8 assembly with the Arizona Cardinals final season, we knew it'd take some time for Robert Tonyan to return to type.

However he is likely to be forward of schedule.

Tonyan has been Aaron Rodgers’ second-most focused possibility within the cross recreation, and he’s eclipsed the 35-yard mark in 4 of his final 5 video games relationship again to final season, together with two of three to open the brand new marketing campaign.

Racking up no less than 25.5 yards must be no drawback for Tonyan on Sunday, particularly contemplating he’s going up towards a Patriots protection that allowed Ravens tight finish Mark Andrews (eight receptions, 89 yards, two touchdowns) to run rampant final week.

Our Decide: Robert Tonyan to file over 25.5 receiving yards @ -119 with Caesars Sportsbook

Packers vs. Patriots odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Appropriate at time of publishing and topic to vary.

GroupUnfoldMoneylineComplete Factors 40.5
Patriots(+9.5) -110+360Over -110
Packers(-9.5) -110-480Beneath -110

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