Generally it's a must to maintain your nostril and guess the underdog. Irrespective of how ugly it might be to look at, these backers are sitting on some revenue this season.
Whether or not it was the Giants’ win in opposition to the Titans in Week 1 or the Seahawks over the Broncos, underdogs win each week, and there's worth in backing these level spreads within the NFL regardless of how fluky the sport might become.
To date in 2022, underdogs are 17-13-1 in opposition to the unfold for a revenue of two.4 models. Much more, the underdog received outright in 11 of these video games, dropping 19. After all, there was that one tie between the Texans and Colts.
There are just a few canines value concentrating on in Week 3; beneath, we break down one of the best bets.
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Week 3 NFL underdog predictions and picks
Saints vs. Panthers (+3) (1 p.m. ET, Fox)
We love a house underdog in a must-win recreation. If the Panthers lose this one, Matt Rhule won't make it out of the stadium. The offense has left quite a bit to be desired up till this level, and the Saints’ protection is just not going to be very welcoming.
Nonetheless, Jameis Winston is now battling a again damage and seemed extra like outdated Jameis final week, throwing three interceptions. The superior information charges the Panthers a bit greater than New Orleans (Carolina is nineteenth in general DVOA, whereas the Saints are twenty second) and take pleasure in enjoying at house. It's previous time that Mayfield will get Christian McCaffrey and DJ Moore closely concerned within the offense. Count on Rhule to throw every part at this recreation in a must-win for his profession. Take moneyline at +125 (BetMGM) or higher.
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Eagles vs. Commanders (+6.5) (1 p.m. ET, Fox)
Carson Wentz revenge recreation? Everyone seems to be speaking about Jalen Hurts’ leap into the elite tier of NFL quarterbacks, and his MVP odds mirror precisely that. However are we underestimating the Commanders in Week 3 at house?
Their offense is completely loaded with a large receiver room that features Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel and rookie stud Jahan Dotson. Everyone knows that Wentz has his points with turnovers, however as 6.5-point underdogs at house, this might be a great spot to purchase the dip. Admittedly, a further half-point to get it to seven could be splendid, so keep watch over it because the week continues. If it will get to +7, this is among the greatest bets of the week.
Regardless, the Commanders are dwell canines this weekend on the moneyline (+235, FanDuel) and are close to the highest of the league in most offensive classes. Not coincidentally, the Eagles are additionally close to the highest within the league in yards-per-play, third-down conversion proportion and complete factors scored. Washington’s protection is abysmal, so anticipate a back-and-forth shootout for this one.
If Wentz retains the ball out of Darius Slay and Co.’s fingers, that is an upset spot come Sunday.
Cowboys (+2) vs. Giants (Monday 8:15 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN)
Everyone seems to be on the Giants bandwagon and able to crown Brian Daboll because the Coach of the Yr. With Kayvon Thibodeaux doubtlessly in a position to make his NFL debut, the Giants are favorites on “Monday Night time Soccer” at house.
However you might need seen Micah Parsons and Demarcus Lawrence terrorizing Joe Burrow for the whole lot of their recreation in Week 2. Burrow was sacked on 14% of cross makes an attempt and the Cowboys are third within the NFL in sacks with eight. The ability distinction between Daniel Jones and Rush is, truthfully, possibly not not a lot.
In accordance with the Motion Community’s Sean Koerner, the downgrade from Prescott to Rush is simply 4.5 factors in opposition to the unfold, which is barely above common. The Cowboys would possible have been greater than a field-goal favourite at full well being. Take the Cowboys right here on the unfold, because it might be a low-scoring affair. The moneyline is value a guess at +110 (Caesars) or higher.
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