2022 World Series odds and picks: Mets still valuable despite Braves’ triumph

On June 1, the Mets had a ten.5-game lead over the Braves to win the NL East and had been among the many shortest favorites to win the World Sequence. What a distinction 4 months makes.

Even per week in the past, New York was nonetheless dealing at 5/1 to win all of it at BetMGM after watching that division lead all however evaporate forward of a weekend collection with Atlanta. Now, after the Mets had been swept by their division rivals, their title odds have lengthened to 7/1 getting into Tuesday’s motion – rating fifth behind the Dodgers (3/1), Astros (4/1), Yankees (5/1), and, sure, these pesky Braves (5/1).

These 5 golf equipment are the one ones dealing at shorter than 15/1, with the common season ending Wednesday forward of the wild-card spherical. New York appeared away from that hurdle months in the past, however after this late-season collapse, the Mets will likely be internet hosting a three-game collection this weekend towards the Padres – whereas the NL East champion Braves take pleasure in a first-round bye and home-field benefit within the divisional collection.

Right here’s a take a look at the most recent World Sequence odds at BetMGM and some groups price betting forward of this weekend’s postseason openers:

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MLB World Sequence odds (by way of BetMGM)

Los Angeles Dodgers+300
Houston Astros+400
Atlanta Braves+500
New York Yankees+500
New York Mets+700
Toronto Blue Jays+1500
St. Louis Cardinals+1800
Seattle Mariners+2500
Cleveland Guardians+2800
San Diego Padres+2800
Tampa Bay Rays+2800
Philadelphia Phillies+3500

Atlanta Braves (+500)

Doesn’t this all really feel a bit too acquainted? A yr in the past, the Braves had been under .500 earlier than ripping off a historic run en path to their first championship in 26 years. This group was equally under .500 earlier than successful 14 straight in June and posting a 77-33 report (70%) in its final 110 video games forward of Tuesday.

This yr’s group returns lots of the similar components from final yr’s title-winning squad. Fan favourite Freddie Freeman has been changed by Matt Olson, whose no-doubter sealed final week’s collection sweep over New York and marked his thirty third dwelling run of the season. Austin Riley has elevated his recreation to a near-MVP degree, whereas perennial MVP candidate Ronald Acuna is wholesome forward of this yr’s postseason run after lacking the 2021 playoffs with a torn ACL.

Kenley Jansen #74 of the Atlanta Braves celebrates
Kenley Jansen #74 of the Atlanta Braves celebrates
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Even rookies Spencer Strider and Michael Harris – who will nearly actually declare the highest two spots within the NL Rookie of the 12 months race – have injected new life into this Braves group, which can doubtless take pleasure in a first-round bye after overtaking the Mets within the NL East. We’ve seen this story play out earlier than, and there’s nonetheless worth at this value on the same ending.

New York Mets (+700)

As unhealthy as the previous couple of weeks have been for the Mets, that is nonetheless a group constructed to win the World Sequence. It’ll simply take an extended path to get there.

Jacob deGrom has been bumpy as of late, however he’s nonetheless arguably the most effective pitcher on the planet and ought to be stretched out absolutely for his first postseason in seven years. The identical goes for Max Scherzer, who owns a 2.40 ERA in his final 13 postseason appearances. New York has high quality rotation depth behind these two, whereas nearer Edwin Diaz has been arguably probably the most unhittable pitcher in baseball this season.

The larger query: can New York’s bats warmth up in October? This lineup ranks seventh in OPS (.741) however simply sixteenth in dwelling runs (165) getting into Tuesday, and it’ll doubtless want extra pop to hold this group by means of what's going to doubtless be 4 rounds of motion. There’s some threat right here, however the ceiling remains to be sky-high for considered one of baseball’s most gifted teams.

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Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
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Seattle Mariners (+2500)

This season has already been a convincing success for the Mariners, who snapped the longest postseason drought (21 years) in all of North American skilled sports activities with Friday’s win over the Athletics. That doesn’t imply this group doesn’t have an encore in retailer.

The addition of two-time All-Star Luis Castillo on the deadline offers the Mariners a official three-man rotation with Castillo, reigning AL Cy Younger winner Robbie Ray, and standout teen Logan Gilbert – all of whom rank among the many prime 15 certified AL starters in strikeout fee and SIERA. And don’t sleep on this deep and versatile lineup led by rising star Julio Rodriguez, who's considered one of this group’s six certified batters with an OPS+ above 100.

Add to that considered one of baseball’s most effective bullpens and constant defenses, and you may see the recipe for a storybook run in Seattle’s long-awaited postseason return. It gained’t be straightforward beginning with a three-game highway collection within the wild-card spherical, but when the M’s survive that one? Be careful.

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