After one other wild week of shut finishes and important quarterback strikes throughout the league, we’re (unofficially) on the one-quarter mark of this younger NFL season. And the divisional races are lastly beginning to take form.
Following Sunday, seven of the eight divisions have a prohibitive favourite at BetMGM, although solely three of them are led by a crew priced at -200 or shorter to win. That alerts a ton of worth throughout the board on early leaders at first rate costs or speculative lengthy pictures which have gotten off to driving begins.
With that stated, listed here are three groups we’re concentrating on within the divisional market after the primary 4 weeks:
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NFL division winner odds and picks for Week 5
Eagles to win NFC East (-350)
I’m not normally one to put this in need of a value on a futures wager, significantly not with 13 video games left to go. However I’d be completely shocked if the Eagles didn’t run away with this division.
Philly has appeared like the category of the NFC and maybe the complete league by the primary 4 video games of the season, ripping off its first 4-0 begin since 2004 and solely its sixth in franchise historical past. Jalen Hurts appears like a bona fide MVP candidate, rating fifth in passing yards (1,120) and twenty fifth in speeding yards (205) amongst all gamers, whereas this staunch Eagles O-line has powered some of the explosive all-around speeding assaults within the league.
Additionally, who else is profitable it? The Cowboys are nonetheless with out starter Dak Prescott and have appeared pedestrian no matter who’s beneath middle. The Giants’ 3-1 begin has come in opposition to one of many best schedules within the league, whereas the Commanders can’t discover a spark amid their 1-3 begin. It’ll take rather a lot for any of these three to upend Philadelphia, which can not give up its division lead all season.
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Jaguars to win AFC South (+175)
It’s exhausting to not be impressed with the Jaguars after a 2-2 begin to the season that features blowout wins over the Colts and Chargers and a slender loss to the undefeated Eagles on Sunday.
That solely got here after quarterback Trevor Lawrence misplaced 4 fumbles within the slippery situations at Lincoln Monetary Discipline — changing into the primary participant to do this this century. He nonetheless ranks eleventh in QBR (58.9), by far one of the best within the division, and I wouldn’t count on such a turnover-plagued effort from the sophomore star down the stretch.
Even after Sunday’s loss, Jacksonville nonetheless ranks fourth in DVOA as of Monday, effectively forward of the Titans (twentieth), Texans (thirty first), and Colts (thirty second). That is the worst division in soccer, and the Jaguars lastly have the expertise and competent teaching to take benefit.
Ravens to win AFC North (-105)
There are two methods to take a look at the Ravens’ begin to the season, which has included two blown leads of 17-plus factors within the final three weeks: there’s numerous work to do, and the ceiling is as excessive as ever.
Baltimore completely dominated nearly all of its video games in opposition to the Dolphins and Payments, however late collapses in each contests have the Ravens looking at a 2-2 file. Each losses are regarding, however I don’t count on some of the aggressive speeding groups we’ve ever seen to proceed to blow late leads throughout a complete season.
This division can also be theirs for the taking. The Bengals clearly have points to work by offensively after a storybook 2021 marketing campaign; the Browns are toothless till Deshaun Watson makes his debut later this 12 months; and the Steelers are already making QB adjustments 4 weeks into the season. Baltimore isn’t excellent, but it surely’s by far essentially the most gifted group on this division and may achieve on its division mates over the simpler a part of its schedule.
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