2022 NFL Week 7 early predictions, picks: Chiefs undervalued vs. 49ers

Simply once you assume the NFL may be returning to normalcy, Week 6 occurs. The Buccaneers and Packers each misplaced outright as landing favorites; the Giants continued their absurd run en path to a 5-1 begin; and the much-ballyhooed matchup between the Chiefs and Payments ended, surprisingly, with a Patrick Mahomes interception.

We shouldn’t count on something much less in Week 7, which options extra favorites of a minimum of six factors (8) than any week this season regardless of fewer groups in motion amid the rising variety of bye weeks. Right here’s a take a look at the total slate of video games at BetMGM, together with a number of we’re focusing on towards the unfold early within the week:

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NFL Week 7 betting odds, level spreads (by way of BetMGM)

Saints @ Cardinals (-1.5)
Falcons @ Bengals (-6)
Lions @ Cowboys (-7)
Colts @ Titans (-2.5)
Packers (-5.5) @ Commanders
Buccaneers (-10.5) @ Panthers
Giants @ Jaguars (-3)
Browns @ Ravens (-6.5)
Jets @ Broncos (-3)
Texans @ Raiders (-7)
Seahawks @ Chargers (-7)
Chiefs (-3) @ 49ers
Steelers @ Dolphins (-7)
Bears @ Patriots (-8)

Saints +1.5 @ Cardinals

Buddies don’t let mates wager the Cardinals, who've misplaced 4 straight (2-2 ATS) and look utterly listless offensively regardless of having one of the crucial proficient younger quarterbacks in soccer.

You possibly can level the finger straight at head coach Kliff Kingsbury, whose offense has scored a measly three first-quarter factors all season and mustered simply 9 factors final week towards a Seahawks protection that surrendered 39 factors one week earlier towards – you guessed it – these very Saints.

New Orleans quietly ranks fourth in yards per recreation (398.3) and sits within the high 10 in third-down conversion price on offense (41.3%) and protection (33.8%). The Saints have been pretty banged-up in latest weeks, but when they will get any excellent news on that entrance – particularly from quarterback Jameis Winston (again) – this line may very well be on the transfer earlier than Thursday’s kickoff.

Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray
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Jets +3 @ Broncos

The Broncos are trapped in a spiral of dysfunction, and I’m unsure I see any straightforward method out. Denver’s offense has been utterly disjointed within the Nathaniel Hackett period, and out of doors of some chunk performs, their sloppy exhibiting on Monday doesn’t give me a lot confidence in that shifting transferring ahead.

You could possibly say the precise reverse in regards to the Jets, who seemingly have an identification now in Robert Saleh’s second season on the helm. Quarterback Zach Wilson wasn’t requested to do a lot in final week’s upset win over the Packers; as a substitute, this stingy protection and run-happy offense carried the load to key this group’s third straight win.

I wouldn’t count on something much less towards the Broncos, who're making an attempt to comply with an identical technique with much less success. Denver looks like the higher group on paper, however that hasn’t proven by way of this 12 months, and I wouldn’t be stunned to see the Jets get some love available in the market earlier than Sunday.

Betting on the NFL?

Chiefs -3 @ 49ers

The whole lot about this line simply feels mistaken. The Chiefs have regarded like among the best groups in soccer all 12 months lengthy, and their back-and-forth affair towards the Payments did little to dissuade that notion, even with Mahomes’ late mistake marring the ultimate consequence.

That merely isn’t the case for the 49ers. Sure, their protection was otherworldly by way of the primary few weeks, however final week’s 28-point output by the Falcons calls into query simply how impervious this unit is transferring ahead – particularly with edge rusher Nick Bosa (groin) and safeties Jimmie Ward (hand) and Talanoa Hufanga (concussion) unsure for Week 7.

That’s to say nothing of San Francisco’s offense, which has now scored 14 or fewer factors in three of its final six weeks. If this turns right into a monitor meet, the 49ers merely don’t have a shot, and the Chiefs ought to be out for blood after final week’s loss.

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