Bills vs. Chiefs predictions: Chiefs a rare home underdog

Our NFL betting knowledgeable brings you his greatest Chiefs vs. Payments predictions and picks for his or her Week 6 NFL showdown, which is dwell Sunday on CBS at 4:25 p.m. ET.

After connecting with Travis Kelce for 4 touchdowns on Monday evening, Patrick Mahomes will look to maintain the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs rolling after they conflict with a Buffalo Payments group that’s coming off certainly one of its most dominating wins of the season. The Payments misplaced to Kansas Metropolis in additional time within the playoffs in January however scored a lopsided win over the Chiefs within the 2021 common season.

Payments vs. Chiefs predictions

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Payments vs. Chiefs picks and evaluation

For Payments quarterback Josh Allen, the objective on Sunday is easy. Get revenge. Allen helped his group construct a 36-33 lead with 13 seconds left to play within the AFC Divisional spherical assembly with Kansas Metropolis final season however rapidly noticed that lead — and his group’s championship hopes — vanish.

The one true treatment to failure prior to now is success within the current, which is precisely what Allen will likely be looking for when he leads Buffalo into Arrowhead Stadium. However retribution actually received’t be simple to come back by in opposition to a group that got here one win away from the Tremendous Bowl simply 9 months in the past.

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Over 54 factors

Any recreation with Mahomes and Allen going toe-to-toe goes to function touchdowns — and a variety of them.

The Chiefs and Payments are the 2 highest-scoring offenses within the NFL, averaging 31.8 and 30.4 factors, respectively. Sure, opponents rating the fewest factors per recreation in opposition to Buffalo’s protection (12.2), however that received’t matter as soon as the competition turns right into a shootout between Allen and Mahomes.

The over is 8-3 in Kansas Metropolis’s final 11 video games in opposition to AFC opponents and 10-3 in its final 13 video games total. Count on these traits to proceed due to a pair of offenses which are usually capable of transfer the ball rapidly and effectively downfield.

Our Choose: Over 54 complete factors @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook

Get the newest Payments odds at Barstool Sportsbook!

Payments to cowl -0.5 by way of the primary quarter +115

With these groups being so evenly matched, it’s onerous to think about that one or the opposite goes to have the ability to construct an insurmountable lead by way of the primary quarter-hour of motion.

Nevertheless, looking at how the Payments’ first 5 video games have performed out reveals some knowledge that might sway this choose of their route.

Buffalo has had the primary offensive drive in every of its 5 video games and averages 2.8 first-quarter possessions per contest. Assuming the Payments find yourself having three offensive journeys within the opening quarter, there’s no purpose to consider they'll’t put up no less than 10 factors, with 17-21 being the apparent best-case state of affairs.

Our Choose: Payments to cowl -0.5 by way of the primary quarter @ +115 with Caesars Sportsbook

Gabe Davis
Gabe Davis
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Betting on the NFL?

Stefon Diggs 2+ TDs +490

Final week Kelce took over the highlight together with his four-touchdown extravaganza, however this week it’s Diggs’ flip.

After ending with beneath 75 receiving yards and no scores in back-to-back video games, Diggs rebounded final week with eight receptions for 102 yards and a TD. It looks like he’s beginning to find his rhythm with Allen as soon as once more after the duo linked for 148 yards and three touchdowns in Week 2.

Diggs is due for one more a type of breakout performances, and now could be the proper time to have one contemplating Kansas Metropolis is permitting 255.6 yards per recreation by way of the air.

With fellow extensive receiver Isaiah McKenzie only in the near past overcoming a concussion and tight finish Dawson Knox questionable with an ankle damage, Diggs may need two much less weapons to take care of for targets, too.  

Our Choose: Stefon Diggs to attain no less than two touchdowns @ +490 with Caesars Sportsbook

Payments vs. Chiefs odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Appropriate at time of publishing and topic to alter.

CrewUnfoldMoneylineWhole 54.0
Payments(-2.5) -110-135Over -110
Chiefs(+2.5) -110+115Below -110

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