Five challenges Pakistan’s new army chief faces

Normal Asim Munir has taken over at a time when Pakistan is tackling a number of crises.

Pakistan army chief
Outgoing military chief Normal Qamar Javed Bajwa, proper, arms over the baton of command to Normal Asim Munir throughout a ceremony on the navy headquarters in Rawalpindi, Pakistan [File: Inter Services Public Relations (ISPR)/Handout via Reuters]

Islamabad, PakistanNormal Asim Munir has what's arguably essentially the most highly effective place within the nation after he took cost of Pakistan’s nuclear-armed navy final week.

The 57-year-old former spy chief can now maintain vital sway over the nation’s inner and exterior affairs.

Munir has taken over at a time when Pakistan faces a number of crises: a voluble opposition demanding speedy elections, an financial meltdown, and historic floods that submerged one-third of the nation this yr.

Listed below are the 5 largest duties earlier than Munir as he begins his tenure:

Home politics

Analysts say the foremost problem the brand new military chief should deal with is the chaos and instability engulfing politics since former Prime Minister Imran Khan was faraway from workplace.

Khan misplaced a parliamentary vote of confidence in April this yr, a defeat he alleged was orchestrated by the USA in collusion together with his political rivals and the highly effective navy.

Each Islamabad and Washington repeatedly denied the fees.

In a U-turn final month, the top of the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf (PTI) social gathering stated he not blamed the US for his elimination, stressing that he needs good relations with Washington if and when he comes again to energy.

Though Khan continues to fiercely criticise the navy for its intervention in politics, the cricketer-turned-politician has beforehand requested the military to advance elections, in any other case due in late 2023.

Lahore-based political analyst Majid Nizami says Munir’s time period will likely be intently watched after what his predecessor Qamar Javed Bajwa stated in his farewell speech final month.

Addressing the military’s prime brass, Bajwa stated the navy has determined to not meddle in political issues, as a result of such interventions, which occurred previously in keeping with him, could be unconstitutional.

“He (Munir) should first set up his credibility as a really impartial military chief so that he's acceptable throughout the political spectrum with out query,” Nizami instructed Al Jazeera.

Mosharraf Zaidi of Islamabad-based Tabadlab think-tank says the navy’s frequent meddling in politics and its management over media ought to finish.

“Below a brand new chief, the navy should resist the urge to make use of the huge extraconstitutional and unlawful affect and energy the navy has over judiciary, the civilian administration throughout the nation and the information media,” he stated.

Army’s picture

That brings us to Munir’s second largest problem – the navy’s picture among the many Pakistani individuals.

The military has instantly dominated Pakistan for greater than 30 of its 75 years as an unbiased nation and is taken into account the nation’s chief arbiter in home issues, whether or not in energy or not.

Retired military basic Omar Mahmood Hayat says boosting the morale of the navy’s rank and file ought to be a precedence for Munir.

“Now we have seen previously that with an expert method, it doesn’t take lengthy for the picture to be corrected,” he instructed Al Jazeera.

Asif Yasin Malik, former defence secretary and retired military officer, thinks “notion administration” will likely be a problem for Munir.

“The primary problem for him is to handle the notion about military concerning its involvement in politics. That is the very first thing he should go after and rectify. That is hurting military’s operational mindset,” he stated.

“They [soldiers] ought to be capable to see what is going on on this planet and what's being stated on WhatsApp or social media, however their focus ought to be in the direction of their mission and professional orientation.”

The TTP menace and Afghanistan

Abdul Syed, an professional on Pakistan and Afghanistan, instructed Al Jazeera one among Munir’s foremost challenges could be to comprise the rising menace of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) armed group.

Final week, the TTP, which is ideologically aligned with Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban, broke a ceasefire agreed with the Pakistani authorities in June – a deal brokered by Kabul.

Within the assertion asserting the top of the ceasefire, the TTP ordered its fighters to launch new assaults “in the complete nation”. Two days later, three individuals, together with a police officer, have been killed in a suicide bomb blast claimed by the TTP throughout a polio immunisation marketing campaign within the southwestern metropolis of Quetta.

In accordance with the information compiled by the Pakistan Institute for Peace Research, an Islamabad-based analysis organisation, the TTP has launched greater than 70 armed assaults this yr alone, killing dozens.

Pakistan is demanding that Kabul act in opposition to the TTP management, which Islamabad alleges has taken refuge in Afghanistan whereas the Taliban keep their territory is not going to be used for finishing up assaults on one other nation.

“It's fairly evident that Pakistani Taliban has discovered refuge in Afghanistan. Pakistan now has two avenues to resolve this concern – one is political, and different is navy,” Syed stated.

“If Pakistan chooses navy motion, it would inevitably hurt relations with Afghan Taliban authorities and can hamper its strategic goals. Alternatively, Pakistan can attempt to search a non-military answer to pressurise the Afghan Taliban into controlling TTP and to make sure they don't launch assaults in Pakistan.”

India

India is traditionally Pakistan’s foremost rival, implicating the militaries of each nations. The 2 nuclear powers have fought two of their three full-scale wars over Kashmir, a Himalayan area break up between the 2 nations however claimed in full by each of them.

Each nations ceaselessly blame one another’s navy intelligence for armed assaults on their soil.

In early 2019, they have been on the verge of one other struggle after India blamed Pakistan for a lethal assault in Indian-administered Kashmir and responded with an air raid throughout the border.

The relations worsened and all diplomatic ties between them froze later that yr after India’s Hindu nationalist authorities stripped Indian-administered Kashmir of its particular standing and launched an unprecedented safety clampdown within the valley that lasted for months.

Frequent skirmishes alongside their Himalayan border adopted till March 2021 when the 2 nations determined to comply with a ceasefire settlement signed in 2003.

Days after he took over as military chief, Munir visited Pakistan-administered Kashmir, the place he pledged to “defend each inch of our motherland”.

“The Indian state won't ever be capable to obtain her nefarious designs,” he stated.

Balancing US, China ties

Pakistan has traditionally maintained shut ties with each China and the US and lots of observers say sustaining shut ties with the 2 world rivals will likely be one among Munir’s key challenges.

However the final decade or so has seen an rising reliance on its northeastern neighbour, with China investing billions of dollars in initiatives throughout Pakistan.

In the meantime, Islamabad’s relations with Washington have been icy, with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif now searching for to fix ties soured throughout Khan’s tenure.

Former military chief Bajwa visited each China and the US within the final months of his tenure.

“They [China] have by no means dictated us who to be pals with and who to not be. However the Individuals and Western nations appear to have a difficulty with that,” former defence secretary Malik instructed Al Jazeera.

Islamabad-based overseas coverage analyst Mohammed Faisal thinks Munir should discover a strategy to stability “competing pressures” from Beijing and Washington.

“Pakistan seeks navy and financial help from each nations, and it should discover a strategy to safe requisite assist from each the key lenders,” he stated.

Tabadlab’s Zaidi, nevertheless, stated the navy ought to “absolutely assist the federal government’s overseas coverage engagements and resist the urge to steer or run the overseas coverage themselves”.

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