The 2022-23 NHL Season is lower than two weeks previous, however there’s no denying that the Philadelphia Flyers are the story of the league to date. Pegged to be one of many worst groups within the circuit by virtually everybody (together with yours really), John Tortorella’s squad is off to a 3-0-0 begin and simply upset the Tampa Bay Lightning on the street as +245 underdogs on Tuesday evening.
Philadelphia now travels throughout the Dawn State for a showdown with the Florida Panthers on Wednesday evening.
Flyers vs. Panthers prediction: Over 6.5 (-115, Caesars)
Take nothing away from the Flyers. They’ve received their first three video games of what was alleged to be a horrible season and now sit atop the Metropolitan Division with the Carolina Hurricanes. John Tortorella has at all times had a knack for getting probably the most out of his rosters, and to date, that appears to be the case within the Metropolis of Brotherly Love.
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However the best way Philadelphia is getting outcomes is simply not sustainable. Whenever you’re an underdog each sport just like the Flyers have been, you’ll have to get robust goaltending and good bounces, however you possibly can’t depend on that evening in and evening out in an 82-game season.
To this point, the Flyers have scored six targets and allowed three at 5-on-5, however they owe a number of that success to goaltender Carter Hart. After a pair of tough seasons, the 24-year-old netminder has come out of the gates like gangbusters in ’22-23, stopping 99 of the 105 (.942 SV%) pictures he’s confronted by means of three begins. Outdoors of a 3-2 win over Vancouver, the Flyers have struggled to push play in the proper course at 5-on-5, however Hart has been there to bail them out. Philadelphia has allowed 61 extra shot makes an attempt, 17 extra high-danger scoring probabilities, and owns a -2.72 anticipated aim differential at 5-on-5 to date this season.
If Philadelphia doesn’t enhance its 5-on-5 play, the Flyers will begin to discover themselves in a spot of trouble. Particularly on nights when Carter Hart is off his sport or on the bench, which is the place he’ll doubtless be on Wednesday evening because it’s his group’s second sport in as many nights.
Regardless of shedding Aaron Ekblad to damage, the Florida Panthers are nonetheless large favorites to win their residence opener on Wednesday evening. The brand new-look Cats went 2-1 on the street towards the Islanders, Sabres, and Bruins to start out the season, however their underlying metrics from that three-game jaunt aren’t all that spectacular in comparison with what we noticed from this group final 12 months.
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That stated, the Panthers are working in a few key new gamers, most notably Matthew Tkachuk, and getting acclimated to a brand new head coach, so it should take a while for this group to click on into gear. That's very true on protection, the place the Panthers are nonetheless making an attempt to regulate to life with out Mackenzie Weegar, who was traded to Calgary for Tkachuk. With out Weegar and now Ekblad, Florida is lacking its top-pairing from the final two seasons and might want to lean on Gustav Forsling, Radko Gudas, Marc Staal, and Josh Mahura to play large minutes.
The quantity on the Flyers is tempting with Florida’s damage state of affairs, however with Felix Sandstrom beginning in web for Philadelphia, it makes extra sense to again the Over 6.5.
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